Real Estate Prices ---
Google Answers: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Log in | Google Answers Home View Question Ask a Question Q: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators ( Answered , 5 Comments ) Question Subject: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Category: Family and Home > Home Asked by: nronronronro-ga List Price: $25.00 Posted: 19 Apr 2005 15:33 PDT Expires: 19 May 2005 15:33 PDT Question ID: 511542 Hi There!I was goofing off today, and started looking throughwww.craigslist.com for real estate. I looked at 11 different citiesfrom San Francisco to Phoenix to Washington, D.C.Mini-Eureka moment! I noticed the number of lease-options availablehas increased significantly in each and every city. 11 of 11 towns! The last time I checked www.craigslist.com was 5 months ago.This observation sparked my rusty brain cells. There must be leadingindicators for real estate, in the same way there are leadingindicators for stocks. Here's a list of possible danger signals forreal estate off the "top of my head":1. Increasing lease-options2. Increasing number of days on the market3. Increasing number of unsold homes in a city4. Decreasing ratio of Asking Price/Transaction Price5. Increasing number of homes on the market more than 120 days6. Decreasing number of mortgage applications7. Increasing number of newspaper classified ads for real estateI'm not a real estate guy. But I'm sure some brilliant professor hasdevised a computer model to predict when real estate prices willdecline 6-12 months hence.A 5-star answer would be 5-10 additional leading indicators for realestate. No background material needed. (However, if you happen tofind an objective study on leading indicators then I would love totake a look at that, too.)All comments greatly appreciated!Thanks.ronP.S. Please note that indicators like "Forecasted Job Growth" or"Forecasted Property Tax Receipts" won't help much, precisely becausethey are forecasts and not hard data. The best indicators wouldinvolve hard numbers that can be observed right now, and used to makecomparisons.EXAMPLES:1. Days on the market for San Francisco versus days on the market for Phoenix.2. Days on the market for San Francisco in April 2005 versus days onthe market in San Francisco in January 2002.(This question doesn't involve specific numbers or specific cities. Rather, it involves the kind of indicators one might observe. Thx.) Answer Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Answered By: easterangel-ga on 19 Apr 2005 16:59 PDT Rated: Hi! Thanks for the question.The National Association of Realtors provides a list of real estateindicators that one can analyze to indicate some trends. Here are someof the indicators that they follow:- Existing Home Sales- Pending Home Sales Index- New Home Sales- Housing Starts- Housing Affordability- Mortgage Rates- Mortgage Applications“Latest Economic Indicators” http://www.realtor.org/Research.nsf/Pages/EcoIndicator The US Census website provides a historical basis for its leadingindicators for real estate. The statistics are from 1900 to 2002.The indicators mentioned in the Census website are the following:- New housing units started - New one family houses sold- Existing one family houses sold- Manufacturing shipments- Index of industrial production- Manufacturing index- Retail Sales- Exports Basis- General Imports“No. HS-40. Economic Indicators for Construction, Real Estate, Manufacturing,Retail, and Foreign Trade Sectors: 1900 to 2002” http://www.census.gov/statab/hist/HS-40.pdf Finally, here is an academic study about real estate prices.“Real Estate Prices and Economic Cycles” http://urbanpolicy.berkeley.edu/pdf/Q_IRER99PB.pdf Search terms used: “real estate” housing economic indicatorsstudies real estate prices filetype:pdfI hope these links would help you in your research. Before rating thisanswer, please ask for a clarification if you have a question or ifyou would need further information. Thanks for visiting us. Regards, Easterangel-ga Google Answers Researcher Request for Answer Clarification by nronronronro-ga on 20 May 2005 15:33 PDT Alas, Phil...only the women in my life are cash-flow positive. Thatis to say, they stay positive when I let the cash flow.heh heh hehThanks for your great insights, Phil. As always!ron Clarification of Answer by easterangel-ga on 20 May 2005 17:43 PDT Hi!Sorry about this but I just have to make a reply to clarifications.Sincerely.Easterangel nronronronro-ga rated this answer: Heavenly answer, easterangel.As always, thanks a million !ron Comments Log in to add a comment Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: easterangel-ga on 19 Apr 2005 18:25 PDT You're welcome as well. Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: pafalafa-ga on 20 Apr 2005 05:03 PDT Since we're doing some work on the house in DC, I've been paying moreattention that usual to the real estate pages of the Washington Post.One of the sort-of-indicators that they mention often is theincreasing amount of property that is bought as an investment, ratherthan as a first home. They also cite the increasing trends in2nd-home sales.For both of these though, I don't know if there's an actual statistic,or just the observation of people in the business.Nice work, though, easterangel.paf Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: nronronronro-ga on 20 Apr 2005 10:52 PDT Thanks, pafalafa!My business partner just purchased a home across the street from theNational Cathedral. He obviously checked out DC. He found the "PMIRisk Index" for DC was very low, whereas the same PMI Risk Index formy state (California) was very high. The only place more risky thanSan Francisco/San Jose was Boston.Rut Row !ron Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: silver777-ga on 24 Apr 2005 05:35 PDT Ron,Your application of logic is spot on.Your points 1 to 7 could relate to any real estate market.In fact, I had counted the number of "for sale" ads by COLUMNnot just the pages. I also counted the number of propertiesfor lease. Another gauge might be to weigh the newspaper, orin the least the real estate section. I reckon that the more "for lease" properties tells us a lot about the climate of the sale market. An increase in borrowing rates will impact on the rental rates and realised sale prices,regardless of the asking prices published. Check also the auctionclearance rates.Have you sourced any cash-flow positive properties of late?Phil Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: nronronronro-ga on 20 May 2005 15:34 PDT Alas, Phil...only the women in my life are cash-flow positive. Thatis to say, they stay positive when I let the cash flow.heh heh hehThanks for your great insights, Phil. As always!ron Important Disclaimer: Answers and comments provided on Google Answers are general information, and are not intended to substitute for informed professional medical, psychiatric, psychological, tax, legal, investment, accounting, or other professional advice. Google does not endorse, and expressly disclaims liability for any product, manufacturer, distributor, service or service provider mentioned or any opinion expressed in answers or comments. Please read carefully the Google Answers Terms of Service . If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by emailing us at answers-editors@google.com with the question ID listed above. Thank you. Search Google Answers for all questions answered questions unanswered questions Google Home - Answers Help & Tips - Answers FAQ - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy ©2005 Google
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LandAndFarm.com - Land for sale, Farms for sale, Rural Property for sale Advertise here Search Properties Wanted Auctions Newsletter Quick Start Register About My Properties Number of visitors online now: 217 Thursday, December 29, 2005 Ad Prices Help Contact Login Subscribe to Rural Property Bulletin Last Few Listings Most Viewed Least Viewed Recently Updated Search by USA Map Rural Property Sites Tool Box Get new properties in your email box! Newsletter Sign-up: yourname@xyz.com HTML TEXT For fun: old listings Contact Us Community Stats Seller emails: 102,892 Property emails: 110,227 Property Views: 13,028,620 Newsletter Subscribers: 14,850 Site Statistics Property 1761 Brokerage 15 Finance & Mortgages 3 Wanted 1 Businesses For Sale 7 Livestock 1 Rural Living 16 Miscellaneous 3 By Land Use: commercial land : 117 dairy farm : 22 fish - aquaculture : 15 forest - natural : 283 forest - planted : 116 historic : 41 horse farm : 380 hospitality : 61 hunting property : 610 livestock operation : 129 mobile home park : 4 oil or minerals : 7 orchard : 17 organic uses : 20 pasture : 319 permanent crops : 43 poultry farm : 33 recreational property : 677 residential land : 844 row crops : 107 undeveloped land : 377 vegetable farm : 15 vineyard : 15 waterfront : 152 By Country: United States : 1709 Canada : 39 South Africa : 34 Zambia : 5 Botswana : 5 Chile : 4 Argentina : 2 Belize : 2 Brazil : 2 Mozambique : 2 Australia : 1 Namibia : 1 Kenya : 1 By Price Per Acre: <$100: 8 $100 to $500 : 34 $500 to $2,000 : 280 $2,000 to $5,000 : 402 >$5,000 : 734 By Acres: <50 : 991 <200 : 1460 200 to 500 : 182 500 to 1,000 : 78 >1,000 : 108 By State/Province: Alabama : 24 Arizona : 11 Arkansas : 14 California : 20 Colorado : 29 Connecticut : 4 Florida : 88 Georgia : 283 Idaho : 12 Illinois : 29 Indiana : 7 Iowa : 9 Kansas : 17 Kentucky : 58 Louisiana : 13 Maine : 32 Maryland : 6 Massachusetts : 7 Michigan : 7 Minnesota : 16 Mississippi : 14 Missouri : 76 Montana : 6 Nebraska : 4 Nevada : 6 New Hampshire : 5 New Jersey : 16 New Mexico : 7 New York : 75 North Carolina : 59 North Dakota : 38 Ohio : 61 Oklahoma : 9 Oregon : 6 Pennsylvania : 6 South Carolina : 64 South Dakota : 22 Tennessee : 293 Texas : 27 Utah : 11 Vermont : 11 Virginia : 123 Washington : 11 West Virginia : 49 Wisconsin : 18 Wyoming : 6 Alberta : 1 British Columbia : 3 Buenos Aires Capital Federal : 1 IV Coquimbo : 1 Manitoba : 1 Mendoza : 1 New Brunswick : 11 Nova Scotia : 12 Ontario : 3 Para : 1 Quebec : 3 Queensland : 1 Saskatchewan : 5 VII Maule : 1 XI Aysen : 2 Not In USA or Canada : 1 Properties by: Land Use Country State/Province Acres Price Per Acre Florida RESULTS Sort by: price size Total records: 88 Showing records: 1 to 20 Go to page : 1 2 3 4 5 New Search Secluded Home On 5 Acres ( residential land, horse farm, pasture) A 5.00 acre property with an asking price of $489,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Hillsborough. Awesome Acreage in NE Florida ( forest - planted, undeveloped land, hunting property) A 21.40 acre property with an asking price of $295,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Nassau. Walker Springs Auction ( hunting property, forest - natural, undeveloped land) A 1,257 acre property. This property is to be AUCTIONED . Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Jefferson. 87 Acres With Hunting Lodge ( hunting property, recreational property, residential land) A 87 acre property with an asking price of $699,900. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Wakulla. 12 Acres Fenced ( horse farm, residential land, pasture) A 12.00 acre property with an asking price of $599,550. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Lake. Land For Sale In North Florida ( residential land, forest - natural, recreational property) A 5.00 acre property with an asking price of $74,900. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Columbia. 40 Acre South Florida Ranch ( residential land, livestock operation, pasture) A 40 acre property with an asking price of $1,950,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Okeechobee. Mims - Florida 40 Acres+additional acres ( residential land, pasture, horse farm) A 40 acre property with an asking price of $1,600,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Brevard. Serenity Arabian Farms ( residential land, waterfront, horse farm) A 47 acre property with an asking price of $1,700,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Putnam. 5.0 Rdfront Pasture Trees ( pasture, residential land) A 5.00 acre property with an asking price of $65,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Hamilton. Jupiter Farms Jewel ( horse farm) A 1.25 acre property with an asking price of $349,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Palm Beach. Cedarpond Farm ( horse farm, residential land, forest - natural) A 35 acre property with an asking price of $750,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Putnam. Willows ( residential land) A 7.50 acre property with an asking price of $1,350,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Brevard. Grant Property ( residential land, horse farm, pasture) A 24.25 acre property with an asking price of $1,100,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: Florida. County: Brevard. 160 Acre Farm Walnut Hill Fl ( pasture, forest - planted, forest - natural) A 160 acre property with an asking price of $999,900. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Escambia. Saddle Club Estates ( horse farm, pasture, residential land) A 22.00 acre property with an asking price of $839,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Volusia. Tampa Bay Area 20-40 Acres ( horse farm) A 40 acre property with an asking price of $1,700,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Pasco. Country Living So Close To Jax ( residential land, undeveloped land, mobile home park) A 16.00 acre property with an asking price of $185,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Charlton. 4.69 Acres With 5 Stalls ( horse farm, residential land, pasture) A 4.69 acre property with an asking price of $669,900. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida 64 Unrestricted Acres ( forest - natural, residential land, undeveloped land) A 67 acre property with an asking price of $275,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: Florida. County: Holmes. Total records: 88 Showing records: 1 to 20 Go to page : 1 2 3 4 5 LandAndFarm.com SPONSORED RESULTS 1. Hollywood Beach Marriott Located on the beach and boardwalk of the world famous Hollywood Beach, Florida, the brand new Hollywood Beach Marriott with 229 oceanview rooms is your perfect destination. http://www.hollywoodbeachmarriott.com 2. Looking For FLORIDA? Find Florida and more at Lycos Search. No clutter, just answers. Lycos ? Go Get It! http://www.lycos.com 3. Find FLORIDA at eBay Looking for Florida? eBay has great deals on new and used electronics, cars, apparel, collectibles, sporting goods and more. If you can?t find it on eBay, it probably doesn?t exist. http://www.ebay.com 4. 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Australian Investment Properties ... Many of Australias Best - Right Here! Click on the photograph of the property you wish to view. Scroll down to view all of the properties. 250E Luxury apartments due to be completed November 2002: Melbourne CBD, Victoria. Singularly the most centrally located CBD residential property in Melbourne is 250e. Absolute CBD. Right in the heart of the city, it is absolute CBD. There is no other property that can touch it for location and potential investment value. new Arcadia Grove Stage 1 Townhouses and Apartments due to be completed July 2003: East Hawthorn, Victoria. Arcadia Grove offers brand new homes with all features Hawthorn lovers love best. Beautiful garden townhouses and apartments of 1, 2 and 3 bedrooms, are set among leafy streets that lead into a central urban oasis of parkland. Boulevard 610 Luxury apartments due to be completed June 2002: Melbourne, Victoria. From the tranquility of Albert Park Lake to the colour and excitement of St Kilda & Chapel Street, the Boulevard's spectacular location is at the centre of everything. new i.d. Luxury apartments due to be completed October 2003: Port Melbourne, Victoria. i.d. sees the redevelopment of the Joshua Brothers Distillery site in Port Melbourne. The apartments are designed around a courtyard space, with pool and recreation areas and a mix of landscaped surfaces, palms and lush planting. new Pacific International Apartments Melbourne Serviced apartments due to be completed January 2003: Melbourne, Victoria. Overlooking Collins Street and the Yarra, Pacific International Apartments, offers fully furnished and superbly decorated one and two bedroom hotel apartments and hotel suite apartments. Philadelphia Luxury Apartments now completed: Melbourne, Victoria. Located in the residential Golden Mile of Melbourne opposite the beautiful Treasury Gardens. Scala Luxury apartments due to be completed October 2002: Melbourne, Victoria. A sophisticated inner city apartment building, Scala Apartments, Lakeside offer stunning views and an exceptional level of refinement. With 107 apartments, Scala offers you the choice of 1, 2 or 3 bedrooms with some apartments incorporating a study. new Tribeca Luxury apartments due to be completed May 2005: East Melbourne, Victoria. Tribeca East Melbourne will be a development of unsurpassed quality, fusing contemporary architectural design with the existing heritage structures of the Victoria Brewery site. new Westway Apartments Luxury apartments due to be completed October 2003: Maribyrnong, Victoria. Westway offers 67 magnificent luxury style two and three bedroom apartments & townhouses only 5km from the CBD. Close to all amenities such as child care centres, shopping centres, Maribyrnong River, parklands and Universities, Westway is sure to create a lifestyle within its self. new Linc Stage 2 Luxury apartments due to be completed November 2003: Alexandria, New South Wales . Architecturally designed with a choice between live/work apartments, studios, one or two bedroom apartments, Linc is the perfect location for easy living. Ellington Luxury apartments due to be completed August 2002: Tenneriffe, Queensland. Ellington comprises three separate buildings encircling extensive recreation areas and tree lined pedestrian walkways. Set amongst extensive landscaping, incorporating lap pool and barbecue areas, Ellington will provide a green oasis, a tranquil retreat shielding the residents from the hustle and bustle, yet still its just a few minutes from the heart of the action. Last Few Horizons Luxury apartments now completed: New Farm, Queensland. Overlooking the New Farm Park and Brisbane River, Horizons consists of twelve luxury ensuited apartments and two villa, executive residences. The development features a pool and B.B.Q area, north-facing and park views, has lift access to all levels, on-site management and massive entertainment balconies. new Alpha G Luxury apartments due to be completed February 2003: Waterloo, New South Wales. Alpha G is a unique development of 75 space age apartments which will be built on top of a futuristic commercial office space and modern showroom complex. The building features sun shading to the east and west, air conditioning, undercover parking and an entry level cafe. Apex Apartments Luxury apartments due to be completed September 2001: North Sydney, New South Wales. Located centrally in Berry Street North Sydney, Apex offers 77 luxury apartments with security undercover parking, swimming pool and gymnasium. Last Few Balmain Shores Stage 3 Luxury apartments due to be completed December 2002: Iron Cove, New South Wales. Idyllic environment with 340 metres of water frontage in the historic Balmain area, just four kilometres from the Sydney CBD. Balmain Shores Stage 4 Luxury Terraces Apartments due to be completed December 2002: Rozelle, New South Wales. Inspired by the historic architecture of the surrounding area, the final stage of Balmain Shores embraces the convenience and style of terrace living. These boutique buildings are no more than three storeys high and all apartments features balconies. new Garden Square Luxury apartments due to be completed February 2003: Chatswood CBD, New South Wales. Garden Square is a community orientated, environmentally sustainable, new development, occupying a prime position amongst the more traditional red roofed bungalows of Chatswood. An easy walk to Chatswoods many amenities and attractions, Garden Square comes with convenient access to trains, buses, schools and shops. King Street Wharf (Stage 2, North) Luxury Apartments due to be completed June 2002: Darling Harbour, New South Wales. King Street Wharf will be an exciting new waterfront district in Sydney. Formerly wharf 9 and 10 of a former maritime terminal in which Darling Harbour was known as Wharf 8. Stage 2 consists of the construction of twin residential towers (North and South) of Building 3, plus the balance of the waterfrontage retail and strata commercial element, Building 2. King Street Wharf (Stage 2, South) Luxury Apartments due to be completed June 2002: Darling Harbour, New South Wales. King Street Wharf will be an exciting new waterfront district in Sydney. Formerly wharf 9 and 10 of a former maritime terminal in which Darling Harbour was known as Wharf 8. Stage 2 consists of the construction of twin residential towers (North and South) of Building 3, plus the balance of the waterfrontage retail and strata commercial element, Building 2. new Linc - Stage 1 Luxury apartments due to be completed May 2003: Alexandria, New South Wales. Architecturally designed with a choice between live/work apartments, studios, one or two bedroom apartments, Linc is the perfect location for easy living. Last Few Linea Luxury apartments due to be completed December 2002: St Leonards, New South Wales. Brand new, contemporary apartments located amidst the vibrancy of St Leonards dynamic lifestyle attractions. Boasting smart design, captivating views and spacious, open living areas, Linea apartments offer the smooth integration of complete comfort and style. new Medina Classic Serviced apartments now completed: Sydney, New South Wales. Medina Classic Martin Place is ideally located in the heart of Sydneys vibrant CBD and shopping precinct, only one block north of Martin Place. The 49 studio and one bedroom apartments all have fully equipped kitchens and laundries. new Nexus Luxury apartments due to be completed July 2003: St Leonards, New South Wales. Rising through the St Leonards skyline, Nexus is an address where life meets style. Located between the transport hub of St Leonards and the cafe society of Crows Nest, convenience meets necessity in this central location. Pacific International Suites Parramatta Serviced apartments now completed: Parramatta, New South Wales. Fully furnished 4.5 star serviced apartments with a thirty year guaranteed return. new Proximity 1 and 2 Luxury apartments due to be completed June 2004: North Arncliffe, New South Wales. Only minutes from the Sydney CBD as well as beaches, parks and waterways, Proximity defines a new standard for contemporary residential communities. Each apartment offers views, space, parking and privacy, with ample room for individual style. new Proximity 3 Luxury apartments due to be completed June 2004: North Arncliffe, New South Wales. Only minutes from the Sydney CBD as well as beaches, parks and waterways, Proximity defines a new standard for contemporary residential communities. Each apartment offers views, space, parking and privacy, with ample room for individual style. new Quadrant Luxury apartments due to be completed July 2003: Broadway, New South Wales. Located only 1 km from Sydney CBD, Quadrant offers residential apartments featuring a blend of heritage and modern architecture. A vibrant central plaza forms the heart of the development, with restaurants and alfresco cafes in landscaped gardens featuring reflection pools. new State Apartments Luxury apartments due to be completed June 2003: Waitara, New South Wales. Located in the upper north shore suburb of Waitara, the State Apartments comprises 102 stylish and spacious one bedroom + study, two bedroom and three bedroom apartments, all featuring secure undercover parking, split system air conditioning and balconies. new Waitara Grand Apartments Luxury apartments due to be completed June 2003: Waitara, New South Wales. The Waitara Grand Apartments offer 136 luxury apartments over two towers in Sydneys upper northern suburb of Waitara. Waitara Grand features public parklands on two sides of the development and provides a private swimming pool, communal courtyard and secure undercover parking. Back to the Australia Financial Services Directory