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CBS News | Be Your Own Real Estate Broker | May 21, 2004 22:03:39 CBSNews.com The Web Home | U.S. | World | Politics | SciTech | Health | Entertainment | Business | Opinion | NEW --Strange News | Sports | Public Eye | Interactives | FREE CBS News Video The Early Show | CBS Evening News | 48 Hours | 60 Minutes The Saturday Early Show -- | CBS Sunday Morning | Face The Nation | Up To The Minute | Build Your Own Newscast Main Page Living HealthWatch Leisure Series The Saturday Early Show Chef On A Shoestring Second Cup Caf Ask Mike Up Next Program Facts Bios Contact Info Inside Scoop Contributors Bios Special Report Money Matters Early Show financial adviser Ray Martin offers tips to keep your financial house in order. Interactive U.S. Markets History of trading and definitions of key terms RELATED STORIES & LINKS Let The House Hunting Begin Tips For Those Diving Into The Real Estate Market This Spring Taking A Home Equity Loan? Be Careful What You Use The Money For Home Mortgage Rates Up A Bit Both 30 and 15-Year Rates Up, Ending A Three Week Stretch Of Drops Inflation Isn't A Problem Consumer Prices Dip 0.2 Percent In November, After Flat October Be Your Own Real Estate Broker NEW YORK, May 22, 2004 (CBS) The housing market is hot. In fact, homes are in such high demand that many sellers are wondering if they even need to hire a real estate agent to broker the deal. Financial adviser Ray Martin gave some tips on The Saturday Early Show for owners who want to sell a home themselves. Home values are up, mortgage rates are low and properties in hot markets are selling in days. The only fly in the ointment for many sellers is the traditional six percent commission paid to real estate brokers who make the deal. As home values continue to skyrocket, the broker commission skyrockets as well. Meanwhile, it seems as though these brokers are doing nothing more than watching the home sell and then collecting a large commission. The thought of having to pay brokers $10,000 or more to sell a home that fetches a buyer in less than week is causing many sellers to stop and think: "Do I really need to spend that money?" FSBO (For Sale By Owner) can be a good option for some people, Martin says. If your home is in a hot location, at a price that is affordable to many potential buyers, and similar homes are in short supply, this can be a good strategy. But, Martins says, FSBO is not for everyone. The following are three potential pitfalls of being your own broker: Setting A Price: The housing market is constantly changing and you really need to have a good feel for the market in order to set a reasonable price. You don't want to lose money by naming a price that's too low, but your don't want to frighten buyers away by over-charging. Getting the Word Out: Putting a "For Sale" sign in your yard is probably not going to sell your house. Most buyers don't have time to cruise around neighborhoods, searching for signs. When you list your home with a broker, they place your information in the area's MLS (Multiple Listing Service). This alerts all real estate agents in the area that your home is for sale -- making it easy for them to pinpoint potential buyers and bring them by for a visit. You can't do this alone. Becoming Emotionally Involved: Selling a home is the second-most emotional transaction you'll ever make, Martin says, second only to buying a home. Mixing emotion and business is not a good thing. If a buyer comes through the door and immediately points out your home's flaws instead of the beautifully restored floors or lovingly painted walls, it's going to hurt. You may be tempted to turn down this buyer's offer, even if it's fair. This is where a realtor can help. It's not a home to them, it's a business deal -- one they want to close quickly and collect on. Despite these pitfalls, Martin says he is not trying to steer everyone away from selling their homes themselves. He says you need to be aware of the pitfalls and if you think you can tackle them, give it a try -- particularly if you're in a hot market. You can try FSBO for a set amount of time, and if you're not successful, you can turn to a broker. If nothing else, use the knowledge that you could be your own broker to negotiate a commission with your broker. That storied six percent is a result of tradition, not law; nowhere does it say that you have to pay brokers six percent. There are conflicting numbers on how many homeowners are selling their homes themselves. About 14 percent of sellers went solo in 2003, according to the National Association of Realtors. The Boston Globe newspaper reviewed sales in its area and found that closer to 25 percent of sales were FSBO. There's no question that there are a lot of services targeted to sellers looking to go FSBO. If you are looking for an alternative to a traditional real estate agent, here are some popular options: Flat Fee Brokers: There seem to be two major players here -- Help-U-Sell and Assist-2-Sell . Both companies are franchises that connect you with local licensed real estate agents. You show your home yourself, and these agents perform all other duties of a traditional broker. The best part, Martin says, is that you pay them one flat fee that varies based on home's value and location. If you pay them a little more, the realtors from these companies will show your house too. An example: a Help-U-Sell customer in Chicago was selling his home for $345,000. The six percent commission would have totaled $21,000. Instead, he paid Help-U-Sell $4,950 to sell his home. If the agent lists your home on the MLS, and another broker brings you a buyer, you will have to pay that broker their two or three percent commission. FSBO Marketing: Other companies such as FSBO.com and ForSaleByOwner.com offer you a variety of marketing options at different price points. You can choose to have your home listed on the companies' Web sites. You can pay more and have yard signs and color brochures designed for your home. Pay even more and have a virtual tour included in your home's listing. Each company is different and offers different packages. Martin says the ultimate packages, which costs $500 or more, allow you to list your home on the MLS -- the same place real estate agents list houses. Again, there's a catch here: if a buyer is brought to your home by an agent who saw the listing on MLS, you do have to pay that broker's two or three percent commission. Negotiated Broker Commission: Again, Martin says you don't have to pay a six percent commission. So don't! In fact, commissions now average a bit over five percent, according to a survey by Real Trends publishers. If your home is on the expensive side and in a hot market, have a serious conversation with your potential broker. Remind him or her that if you list with them, they will get paid. But if you strike out on your own, they get nothing. Isn't one or two percent better than nothing? MMIV, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. 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Livingchoices.com: Real Estate - New Homes, Homes for Sale, Apartment Rentals Welcome to Real Estate Book.com, providing you a comprehensive selection of homes for sale, new home communities, and local information from hundreds of cities across the United States and Canada. Choose a state Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virgin Islands Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Choose a province Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia Ontario Prince Edward Island Click to order the books from your area LivingChoices features homes for sale, apartments and new home communities in over 500 markets, like: Albuquerque, NM Flagstaff, AZ Philadelphia, PA Atlanta, GA Hartford, CT Phoenix, AZ Austin, TX Houston, TX Portland, OR Birmingham, AL Las Vegas, NV Raleigh, NC Boise, ID Little Rock, AR Sacramento, CA Boston, MA Los Angeles, CA San Francisco, CA Charleston, SC Louisville, KY Savannah, GA Charlotte, NC Manchester, NH Seattle, WA Cleveland, OH Miami, FL Spokane, WA Coeur d'Alene, ID Minneapolis, MN St. Louis, MO Colorado Springs, CO Mobile, AL Tampa, FL Dallas, TX Nashville, TN Toronto, ON Denver, CO New York City, NY Tulsa, OK Des Moines, IA Orlando, FL Vancouver, BC Advertisers corner . How to advertise . Distributorships available . Partners . Site Index . About LivingChoices . Privacy Policy Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. All measurements are approximate. © 2005 Network Communications, Inc. All rights reserved. Equal Housing Opportunity

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Hunting and Timber Properties,land for sale Fine Timber & Hunting / Development Properties HOME - SITE MAP - TIMBER PROPERTIES - DEVELOPMENT PROPERTY - NORTH RIVER * DMI and NORTH AMERICAN HUNTING AND TIMBER PROPERTIES Scroll Down for details DMI is proud to offer the finest timber and hunting land available. All of the land listed is available for purchase. All of our land has a proven track record of producing the finest in Whitetail Deer, Turkey, and Ducks. A large portion of our offerings contain major timber tracks that make our properties great investments. Scroll Down for a listing of All Properties all of our property is for Saleonly - we donot lease at this time. ALABAMA No inventory at the moment MEXICO 60,000 acre ranch located in Northern Sonora, Mexico. Premier Desert Big Horn Sheep, Mule Deer, Coues Deer Hunting. Property is fenced with nice bunk house and water supply - Price on Request. Map I Map II Photos ARKANSAS No inventory at this time MISSOURI no inventory at the moment KENTUCKY 4212 Acres - Carter County KY SOLD 11-1-05 . Excellent recreational and timber management property. South of Grayson, Ky near Hitchins, Ky on west end - $800 per Acre - $3,369,600.00 - Certified General Appraisal TENNESSEE ^ 512 Acres in Humphreys County Tn - Maps - nice timber with a creek feature - near Hurricane Mills TN off of State Hwy 13 at Stewart Branch Rd. NEW - 10,700 Acres in Grundy & Marion County TN Sold 8-31-05 just north of Chattanooga TN 11,200 Acres GPS tract on the Little Sequatchie River- 10,700 deed acres - Great Timber Water Falls & Hunting too - Timber Cruise available Certified General Appraisal At a great price - $1050.00 per acre 380 Acres in Hardeman County TN - near Toone TN - SOLD Great recreational property in North Hardeman County TN Near Memphis and Jackson TN located on Old Toone Rd - Great Price $595 an acre 2821 Acres in Benton County TN - SOLD Located near Eagle Creek Exit off I-40 near the I-40 Tennessee River Bridge. This tract has something for every investor or hunter. Plenty of timber of many ages and types and game and non-game species located on tract for recreational use. Public roads provide access to majority of property with interior roads offering driving access to the remaining portions. Located near Eagle Creek Exit off I-40 this parcel located only 87 miles from downtown Nashville and 59 miles from Jackson. Road frontage, Internal roads, Streams, Ponds, Recreation, Hardwood, Pine - Price $1500 per acre sold - 2326 acres Perry and Wayne Counties TN - SOLD 10 miles southeast of Linden, 20 miles east of Parsons, 60 miles west of Columbia, 65 miles east of Jackson,100 miles from Nashville, & 150 miles from Memphis. 2,326.93 Acres +/-, by Survey, all timberland Outstanding deer and turkey hunting over hilly terrain with numerous lodge sites overlooking the property. Great access with main ridge road through the center. Year round creeks plus waterfall less than a mile from the Buffalo River. 70% Hardwood / 30% 10 year old natural regenerated timber $750 per acre MISSISSIPPI 296 Acres - Coffeeville MS - 1800 Sq Ft House - 70 Acres in Open area / remaining in Trees 3 Lakes - great for hunting - $1500.00 per acre -- Maps and Details to follow soon. 380 Acres - Quitman County - Between Marks and Darling Ms - Rice Farm with Great Duck Hunting - Has it all - Just off HWY 3 on Red Lake Rd $1595 Per Acre - Map 88 Acres - Near Charleston - great duck hunting $1595 per acre $140,360.00 - hurry - don't wait on this small duck tract Map Map II Club Tallaha - Located in Tallahatchie County - Old Boy Scout Camp with great facilities, hunting, and old growth Timber - 75 years old - just out side of Charleston MS - Great Retreat Property - Ready to go ---- 178 Acres $800,000.00 details map location map SOLD New - 127 Acres in Quitman County MS - South of Lambert on Hwy 3 - SOLD Great Duck and Hunting - Excellent Farm land - bounded by Opossum Bayou $1595 per acre SOLD ! 2200 Acres / 8 miles northwest of Drew (Can Divide) SOLD - public road access, frontage on the Big Sunflower River and Long Lake Excellent Duck, Deer, and Quail, 24 Duck Holes with permanent water 6 Wells on Property. Over 1800 acres totally reforested in Oak Tree Plantation, levees and improvements to total over $ 750,000 - included in the improvements 30 to 40 Acre bass lake - 100% in WRP - $1000 per acre -- SOLD Bloodworth Ranch Tallahatchie County - Rolling Hills Great Water SOLD features nice barn and structures - good road access just East of Payne MS $1600 per acre DMI - Fine Hunting & Timber Properties P.O. Box 411 Lyon, MS 38645 Phone 1-800-443-6753 or 662-624-5514 Fax 1-662-627-3131 Hours 9:00 to 5:00 CST,Monday through Thursday, after hours there is an answering machine for messages. If you leave a message, please leave your address. email buckinghammint@gmi.net Note :we are constantly updating our land inventory, so please check often for ourupdates. Note all of our land is for Sale Only --- We do not lease at this time.

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Missouri Real Estate MultiList - Homes, Land, Farms and Commercial Property For Sale Missouri Real Estate MultiList Homes, Land, Farms and Commercial Property For Sale Search Missouri MLS Real Estate For Sale Search for Real Estate in other states Home List of Agencies Agencies By City Agencies By County Missouri Info Real Estate Services Interesting Links Contact Us U.S. Lots Visit Our Blog! Welcome to the Missouri Real Estate MultiList - an independent searchable MLS database for Homes, Land, Farms and Commercial Property. The Missouri MultiList contains a wide selection of Missouri homes, land, farms and commercial property for sale . Search listings from many different MO Real Estate Agencies - farms, ranches, land, homes, rural, commercial property. We have Southern, Southeast, Southwest, Northern, Northeast, Northwest and Central real estate for sale in Missouri. Under the description of each listing, we provide a website link to the listing agency having the property listed. We encourage you to visit the individual agency web sites having properties you might be interested in, or you can request information directly from the information page on each real estate listings. You can find additional local area information and Missouri Maps and Information on the many agency sites listed here. Thanks for visiting the Missouri Realestate MultiList . If you have questions or need assistance, please do not hesitate to contact us. Real Estate Term of the Day for Thursday, December 29, 2005 Net Effective Income: The borrower's gross income minus federal income tax. Link to Us ©1998-2005 U.S. Cybertek, Inc., All Rights Reserved U.S. Cybertek, Inc. 350 W A. Suite #104, Casper, WY 82601 Phone: 417-967-2011 Website: http://www.uscybertek.com E-mail: webmaster@uscybertek.com The Missouri Real Estate Multi List, is an advertising resource for real estate agencies and is not involved in any real estate transaction. "Missouri Real Estate MultiList" and "Missouri MultiList" are Trademarks of U.S. Cybertek, Inc. Real Estate MultiList

real estate prices in

Pondering Real Estate Pondering Real Estate Adam Hamilton August 23, 2002 2913 Most Americans' largest asset is their home. With chaotic and turbulent economic times upon us, how will residential real estate perform in the coming years. Some thoughts... One of the greatest blessings of writing publicly is the continual stream of feedback I am offered from folks around the world. They let me know when I am wrong, help shape my worldviews and opinions, and offer dazzling new ideas that are often absolutely brilliant. Without everyone who graciously writes in to help deepen my own understanding, my own thought processes would rapidly stagnate. I am always grateful for feedback, positive, neutral, or negative. The people who take the time to write really augment the crucial foundational base off which my thoughts articulated in these essays are formed and polished. One of the most common questions people have, especially those writing from the States, regards real estate. For Americans, real estate, in the form of their primary family home, is often the largest asset they command. The value of real estate, especially the price trend, is very important to countless folks across our great nation. Many Americans I hear from, especially those with a contrarian investor mindset, wonder what will happen to residential real estate prices in the United States. The question is a very complex and difficult one, for a whole myriad of reasons. I have been pondering this matter since the US equity bubbles burst and am finally ready to commit some tentative thoughts to paper on this vexing issue. A massive caveat is in order however. I am approaching this question about real estate price trends from the perspective of a speculator. Not having a background in real estate, these ideas may be completely worthless, so please dont act on anything in this essay without at least first discussing these concepts with a real estate professional you personally trust with decades of experience. I hope this essay will simply spur further thoughts and discussions. The primary issue that I have been wrestling with in my mind regarding residential real estate price trends in the coming years concerns inflation and deflation. Inflation and deflation are simply opposing monetary phenomena, but both seem to be attacking our fragile post-bust economy in the US with great fury from opposite sides. For some background on these two titanic forces, please see my Inflation or Deflation? essay published last December. Inflation is spawned by the hooligans at the Federal Reserve printing too much paper (or electronic) money, which they have been doing in spades in recent years in a vain and fruitless attempt to stop the normal post-bubble bust process from running its full course. In the last 12 months, the various US money supply measures have exploded up with astounding violence. The absolute year-over-year M1 inflation is 5.2%, MZM 12.7%, M2 7.9%, and M3 7.4%. These numbers are downright frightening in light of historical inflationary precedent! In an inflationary environment, relatively more money chases after relatively fewer goods, services, and real estate. If the amount of money in circulation is rising faster than available real estate in the areas in which people want to live, residential real estate prices should rise. Realtors use this inflation idea to convince their customers that land prices should perpetually rise because land is scarce. Unfortunately, thats not the whole story. While real estate professionals constantly bombard us with marketing propaganda claiming that land is scarce and no more is being made, that is a myth. One example why is evident in multi-story buildings. A 10-story structure, for example, has about 10x the usable space as a single story structure, but has the same footprint in raw land terms. Land itself is not scarce, just land in locations where people want to live. For example, the sparsely-populated state of Montana has about 147,000 square miles of area, or roughly 94m acres. Assuming that only 2/3 of Montanas land is useable (the rest might be mountains or lakes, or streets in cities), that leaves 63m acres. If the entire US population is 287m people, they could all move to Montana and each live in modest estates of almost 1/4 acre, or 9,500 square feet. If their houses took up 1/3 of their plots, and each had a basement and two aboveground stories, every American could live in Montana in individual 9,500 square feet mini-mansions! Land is not scarce in general. I have seen land sell in the North Dakota Badlands for $25 per acre. I have heard of deals involving vast tracts of land in northern Australia going for under $1 per acre. Land is relatively scarce in small areas in which lots of people want or need to live however, such as New York Citys Manhattan Island. Monetary inflation should indeed bode well for real estate prices, but where will it strike? If US monetary inflation bids on barren lands in the Western states for example, residential real estate in the big Eastern cities might not benefit. Just because the general economic environment in the US is highly inflationary thanks to the Feds obnoxious and practically criminal monetary growth, that doesnt necessarily mean real estate in a given small corner of the US will do well. And then we must consider deflation! Deflation is caused by relatively less money chasing relatively more goods, services, and real estate. In deflationary environments money supplies shrink and prices drop. As long as the American people allow the private Federal Reserve bank to continue its tyranny of inflationary theft, there will never be less money in the US economy than there is today. But, muddying the waters even further, the historical line between money and credit is now exceedingly blurry. Because Americans love going into debt, they insist on buying their houses on time, with borrowed money at high interest rates, rather than working hard, saving the funds themselves, and paying cash when they can afford to buy a house outright. While deflation in the US money supplies is probably impossible with the Fed around, deflation in debt, or credit, is already happening. With Americans not actually buying houses outright but really in effect borrowing them from banks, any contraction in available debt will leave less credit available to chase houses. With less credit chasing residential real estate, prices will be forced to fall. But, just as with inflation, it is difficult or impossible to predict how the contraction in general credit available to buy houses will affect real estate in any given small area of the United States. Confused yet? Me too. There are both titanic inflationary and monstrous deflationary forces barreling down on the United States. But, residential real estate markets are all local and many will be affected differently. Deflationary forces could win out in New York City for instance, causing home values to plummet while at the same time inflationary forces win out in Wyoming causing house prices to rise. Real estate is all local. In the stock markets, it is meaningless whether you buy a share of a publicly-traded company in New York or California. In real estate where you buy your house is everything! Location, location, location. Since all real estate markets are really local, perhaps there are some warning signs that you can watch for in your little corner of America to warn of impending real estate price drops. While national generalizations about monetary inflation or debt/credit deflation regarding real estate are tough to make, zooming in to the local level for analysis has a much higher probability of success. Stock speculators throughout history have learned to carefully monitor equity markets for danger signs of maturing bubbles. All markets, including real estate, move in great cycles throughout history, marked by rampant euphoria at the tops and popular indifference at the bottoms. Perhaps applying some common bubble warning signs in equity markets to your local real estate market will yield some interesting fruit. Three common warning signs for equity bubbles are parabolic price rises, excessive valuations, and overwhelming euphoria. In real estate, parabolic price rises happen when a local market witnesses prices rocketing up by 15%+ per year, for years in a row. If you go to your local library and look at old newspaper classified ads, or else secure local data from your hometown real estate professional, you can easily graph it in Excel. If prices of comparable homes across time are shooting up on a long-term zeroed-chart like a ballistic missile, like the bubbles in the NASDAQ 2000 and DJIA 1929, you are most likely in the belly of the beast, a local unsustainable real estate bubble. Check out bubble growth graphed, it sticks out like a central banker at a rock concert! This graph shows values indexed to 100, but you can just as easily think of them in terms of dollars, starting out at $100k. Imagine you bought a house 25 years ago for $100k, a lot of money back then. If your house price appreciated by 5% per year compounded annually, it would now be worth $339k, which is totally plausible and makes sense. On the other hand, if your house had appreciated by 15% each year, it would now be worth $3,292k, or $3.3m! This is a massive increase in price, and it ought to throw up big red warning flags all across your cranium. Does it make sense for a $100k house to become a $3.3m house in only 25 years? Absolutely not, that is just silly! As the graph above shows, abnormally high growth rates make for parabolic charts, bubbles that look just like the stock market variety. If your local real estate market is ascending parabolically like the NASDAQ of 1997-2000, you are in a bubble. History unambiguously shows that no financial trend continues in the same direction forever and all bubbles ultimately pop. Unrealistic annual growth rates are a key bubble warning sign. For a deeper discussion of unrealistic growth rates over the long-term, please see my essay The Elusive Long-Term from last August. Another warning sign of equity bubbles is excessive valuations. In the stock markets, valuations are most commonly measured by the formidable yet often scorned price-to-earnings ratio. The historical average P/E ratio for US equity markets is 13.5x earnings. We can also apply this concept to real estate holdings. While most people buy a house simply to live in, it is also possible to buy a house to use as a rental property. In a residential house used as a single-family rental, there is a price, the cash paid for the house, and an earnings stream, the rent the family pays to the owner. With a real estate P and E, we can compute a rough real estate valuation multiple. If a rental property costs $100k to buy, and rents for $1000 per month, or $12k per year, its P/E ratio is 8.3. Even though most families dont own a separate rental property, with a little legwork you can check your local newspapers and calculate some rough P/E proxies for your area. Find houses for sale similar to yours to get price data points. Find houses for rent similar to yours to get earnings data points. Divide the P by the E, and you have a rough valuation estimate. I dont know what a reasonable average long-term residential real-estate P/E is. I suspect it is probably in the 10-20 range though, as that implies a 5% to 10% return on the owners capital, which is in line with historical returns available across a broad market spectrum. If you find that houses in your area are renting for implied P/Es of under 20 or so, that is a good sign that house prices may be fair. Conversely, if you find houses in your area renting for implied P/Es of over 20, valuations are probably too high and you should be wary of a potential real estate bubble. Another common warning sign of equity bubbles is rampant and unbridled widespread euphoria. Remember the NASDAQ in 1999 and early 2000? It was unreal! All anyone ever talked about was the NASDAQ, how boring. As a hard-traveling consulting road warrior at the time, I remember even the shoeshine boys at airports were talking about their tech stock investments as they polished shoes. It was just crazy, just as brilliant historians like Charles Mackay of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds fame (written in 1841) warned us it would be. It is difficult to empirically quantify euphoria, but there is no mistaking it if you keep your ears open and pay attention to what folks are talking about in your social circles. If you find yourself in a local situation where the preferred topic of conversation at every social get-together is always residential real estate and the great wealth to be made in home ownership, chances are euphoria is setting in and you should proceed with great caution. Just as parabolic price rises, excessive valuations, and overwhelming euphoria are danger signs of bubble tops in the stock markets, they are also equally valid danger signs in local real estate markets. It is probably a wise idea to periodically monitor these three fronts. In addition to stock market-like traits, there are also other factors that affect local real estate prices. These include net local migration patterns, income trends, and interest rates. One of the most important local factors in house prices is migration. If you live in or near a community that is growing as more people move in each year, that increases the pool of potential bidders competing for local houses. Prices are far more likely to rise in an environment of net in-migration. On the other hand, if your community is shrinking, both the number of people and amount of capital available to throw at residential real estate dwindles. This is a bad omen for future real estate prices in your area. Typically cities grow and rural areas shrink as people seek the jobs available in cities. This is not always the case though. As the Information Age continues to evolve, a new population of workers is growing, the information worker. Info workers deal purely in information, like a software programmer. It is often not important where they live, as they rely on the Internet to work remotely with their colleagues and clients. Info workers often earn high salaries and have the means to bid up home prices. Zeal LLC , my company, is an example of an Information Age venture. My partners and I can research, consult, trade, and write from anywhere on Earth. It makes absolutely no difference to you whether I penned this essay in Alaska, Australia, Argentina, or the Azores. Info workers, whose ranks will grow dramatically in the coming decade, are very blessed to be able to live and work from anywhere. So, if you live in an area of exceptional natural beauty and very high quality of life, prime rural areas, an influx of urban information refugees from the decaying carcasses of the megalopoli will probably help support real estate prices in your location even through tough economic times. It may make sense to buy real estate in elite communities like the Colorado or California mountain resort towns even if the US economy faces very turbulent times ahead. The Information Age will probably totally alter the dynamics of rural real estate in prized areas. Another factor to consider is income trends in your area. Ultimately, real estate prices in a given location can never increase faster than income over the long-term. Even for the vast majority who choose to go into debt to live in a house, the level of debt service they can afford is totally dependent on their income. If general income trends in your community are rising, that is a great sign and is bullish for real estate prices. On the other hand, if general income is falling, for any reason, that suggests real estate prices will have to correct downward to adjust for the loss of debt-servicing ability necessary for folks to borrow money and buy residential real estate. Interest rate levels are also intimately tied into this whole debt service capability. As all those burdened with a mortgage know, for many years most of the monthly payments are almost totally interest. It takes a long time and a huge amount of money dumped down the mortgage black hole, into bankers pockets, before the amortization starts taking good-sized bites out of principal each month. Amazingly, in the first 2/3 of a typical 30-year mortgages lifespan, the interest portion of each monthly payment exceeds the principal portion. So, if interest rates are heading higher due to Greenspans promiscuous inflation as I have discussed in past essays including Bond Anomalies Abound , it will severely retard debt-financed residential real estate purchases nationwide. Although interest rates havent turned north yet, history suggests they will be forced higher sooner or later as the bubble excesses are painfully squeezed out of the US economy. In summary, attempting to divine real estate price trends is very difficult in a macro sense. There are a great deal of diverse variables that affect real estate prices. In addition, unlike the stock market, there is no national real estate market. All real estate is local, so national trends must be examined for your particular situation in light of the local realities in your community. Nevertheless, if you do your own due diligence and integrate local real estate data you uncover into national post-bubble trends, you should be able to emerge with a fairly good idea of where your local residential real estate prices might be heading. Adam Hamilton, CPA August 23, 2002 Do you enjoy these essays? Please subscribe to our acclaimed private Zeal Intelligence newsletter today to see the good stuff each month, including our specific stock and options trades based on our research! For more information ... Zeal Intelligence For a FREE sample ... FREE Samples! To subscribe ... Subscribe TODAY! Thank you for your generous support! Contact us at... info@zealllc.com | For optimal viewing please use 800x600 or higher resolution in Microsoft Internet Explorer 6.0 or Netscape 6.2