real estate prices in
Towards Liberty International Society for Individual Liberty > Don't Get Stuck Paying "Zombie" Debt – Towards Liberty – A commentary on current events by Jarret Wollstein The Coming Real Estate Collapse – 05-24-05 – As real estate prices in much of the U.S. continues to soar, evidence is growing that both commercial and residential real estate is greatly over-priced in many of the country's hottest markets – including New York City, Boston, Washington, D.C., Miami, and much of California. One clear indication that real estate is overpriced is that rents are now a fraction of mortgage payments, and are continuing to fall in terms of real dollars. For instance, Forbes reports that cash return on income-producing real estate has fallen from 9% a few years ago, to just 5% to 7% now, and is likely to go lower. You can clearly see why rents are falling in overheated markets like California's Silicon Valley. In the San Francisco-San Jos corridor, there is currently over 33 million square feet of un-rented (and in many cases never occupied) commercial space. Last year, just 65 thousand square feet of this enormous inventory was rented. At that rate, it will take over 507 years to rent all unoccupied commercial real estate in Silicon Valley. Since most investors can't wait over half a millennium for returns on their capital, what's more likely is that commercial real estate prices in this "hot market" will soon fall like a rock. Another indication that real estate is poised for a fall, that fewer and fewer people can afford today's astronomically-priced houses. For instance, in California – where ordinary 2,000 square foot, 3-bedroom homes are going for $500,000 to $2,000,000+ – less than one family in six now qualifies to repurchase their own house. Another indications that real estate is ready for a fall: Of 362 U.S. metropolitan areas, about 15% are experiencing a housing "boom" – a three-year, inflation adjusted price gain of 30% or more – according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. That's the highest number of boom markets ever recorded in the 30 years that they have been tracked. In Americas hottest real estate markets – including the big cities in New York, Florida and California – housing prices went up by 15% to 35% in the past year alone. This is clearly unsustainable. No matter how low interest rates are and no matter how many schemes George Bush comes up with for an "ownership society," it's clear that we are rapidly reaching the point when hardly anyone can afford to buy a new house in a hot real estate market, without putting their financial future in jeopardy. So what's propping up the real estate bubble, and causing housing prices to go ever-higher, even as rents fall and commercial landlords face enormous vacancy rates? Besides artificially low interest rates, the answer, in a word, is speculation. Up to one residence in three in California is now purchased not to live in, but for resale, according to the San Francisco Chronicle . The comparable figure may be as high as one property in two in the Las Vegas area. In downtown Miami, 80% of approximately 35,000 new condos now under construction or just completed, are owned by investors – not people who actually plan on living in them – according to MoneyNews.com. Call it the triumph of delusion over reality. I can't tell you how many people have told me that real estate price "can't fall, because if they did, they would be bankrupt." In other words, because they want prices to stay up, they must stay up. If you believe that, there is a nice three-bedroom fixer-upper on a dirt lot, and on the edge of an eroding cliff, in Pacifica, California, I'd like to sell you for just $2.5 million. Buy this bargain now, before the price really goes up! (This is a real example.) In the current frenzied real market, self-delusion is rampant. In Florida's red-hot real estate market, one Miami realtor recently told the New York Times , "South Florida is working off a totally new economic model than any of us have ever experienced in the past." That's precisely what executives of dot coms told investors to justify their astronomical stock prices, just before the collapse – which triggered the destruction of over $3 trillion in stock value. Unfortunately, for many overextended home owners, property prices aren't immune to the laws of economics. Property prices can and do fall in America, as witnessed by the bear markets of 1974-75, 1980-82 and 1990-92. A personal example: One Northern California home owner I know bought his 2,000 sq. ft. house for $750,000 in 1989. In 1992, he was couldn't get $450,000 for his property, and was forced to declare bankruptcy after he lost his job. Millions of overextended American families with "interest only" and adjustable rate mortgages will likely find themselves in the same boat, when mortgage interest rates edge up above 7% or 8% – which is likely by the end of this year. (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has warned that we can expect at least a 2.25% increase in interest rates in 2005, on top of the 2% increase in 2004.) The brutal financial reality is that a mere 2% rise in mortgage rates, can increase ARM payments by as much as 40% – an unsustainable burden for families living on the edge. One way or another, at best , the U.S. real estate bubble has 1 to 2 more years to run before it collapses. If you or your children are among those living in overpriced homes you can barely afford, NOW is the time to sell, when the market is at or near its peak, and before prices drop by 30% or more – and they find themselves living in a Motel 6 or in your basement. To minimize taxes on the profits, reinvest in a home in a small town or rural area where prices arent so absurd, and bank the rest. Please stay in touch! Add yourself to our e-mail list. Two times per month we send an update on the activities of our members and new features at ISIL.org. Simply enter your e-mail address here and click the button. You can easily remove yourself (unsubscribe) at any time. E-mail us at isil@isil.org if you have any personal questions or comments. E-mail address: Subscribe Unsubscribe
Land For Sale
Property for sale in the Ariège Pyrenees Thermal spas Festivals You live in Toulouse? Property for sale New on the site Links About this site Sign our guestbook Walnut wardrobe for sale (armoire) French property for sale in the Ariège Pyrenees Estate agencies Arièg'Immo 26 Blvd Frédéric Arnaud 09200 St Girons Tél : (33) 05 34 14 01 36 English spoken www.ariegimmo.com Midi-Pyrénées Propriétés Moundounet 09130 Le Fossat Tél : (33) 05 61 69 36 81 06 09 43 34 70 English spoken - Wij sprekens Nederlands www.midi-pyrenees-properties.com For sale by owners These properties are all for sale by the owners. We recommend using the map site mappy.com to locate the small villages in Ariège. If there is more than one village of that name in France it will show you the choices : pick the one with the post code that begins with 09. Nurseryman selling small horiticulture business in Massat, at 630m altitude. . Production : vegetable plants, annual and perenial flowers; shrubs Sales of plants at the greenhouse and at local markets Equipment : 1 180 m2 heated tunnel, 1 cold tunnel Contact : Denis Leblon Tel : 05 61 96 94 31 email : las.paouses@wanadoo.fr Dog breeding business + owner's 3-bedroom house on 1.25 ha of land in Roquefixade Near Seix, secluded 160 m2 house at 900m on 2 ha of land with view of mountains 160 000 euros "ANILAC" hamlet near Cominac (3 renovated houses + 1 unrenovated + 2 barns unrenovated on 6000m2 of land) price to be negotiated on site (houses not for sale separately)
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Colorado HomeFinder | Arvada Real Estate, Search Arvada Homes for Sale in the MLS Call 800.231.9153 | Contact Us If you already have an account, sign in here Arvada Colorado Real Estate - find out first about the newest Arvada real estate listings! You learn about Arvada homes for sale the day they hit the market - before other buyers. Automated HomeAlert emails you new listings that fit your personal home search criteria and gives you access to all the Arvada Colorado real estate listings. It's easy - Just submit your email address and home search criteria. Your email is not shared or sold to anyone. You incur no obligation or cost for this free Arvada real estate service. Our Privacy Policy: We respect your privacy. All information provided is strictly confidential and you can unsubscribe at any time. Colorado HomeFinder will never sell or share your information with any outside parties. Click here to review our Privacy Policy . 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Learn About Selling español Put My Century 21 to work for you, simply register your email address and create a password. Once you're registered, you'll be able to save property descriptions store your search criteria file agent information build a custom library Find out more or register now! Already registered? Sign in . Knowledge can be the key to a speedier home sale. Learn all you can about selling from appraisals to negotiations as well as how a CENTURY 21 professional can help you market your home for the quickest sale with the best price possible. Steps and strategies for a successful sale. Learn the Basics of Selling Details on the finer points of selling. How do you prepare a house to sell? Do sellers have to disclose the terms of other offers? How is a home's value determined? What are the two most important factors when selling a home? How can can selling a home help me save money for my child's college education? Financing Lease Options Tax Matters Foreclosures -- More... Listen and learn about selling. Selling Your First Home Selling II: Advanced Topics Quick jump to common selling terms. Adjusted Cost Basis Bridge Loan Disclosure More... ©2005 Century 21 Real Estate LLC. An Equal Opportunity Company. Equal Housing Opportunity. Each CENTURY 21 Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. All rights reserved. Information appearing on this site has been produced by or obtained primarily from Century 21 Real Estate LLC and its representatives and from CENTURY 21 franchisees. Century 21 Real Estate LLC is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of the broker information, sales associate information, listing information or other information provided by our franchisees appearing on or through this site. Such information has been provided by independent third parties who are solely responsible for such content. Certain conditions and restrictions apply to System promotions. Terms and Conditions of Use.