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CA Real Estate License School for Broker's and Salespersons Directory of Schools HOME | CONTACT | FEATURED DEGREES | SCHOOL GUIDE | RESOURCES Current Users Online Real Estate License School for Brokers Salespersons and Agents ONLINE PROGRAMS Accounting Degree Advertising & Marketing Appraisal License USPAP Art Schools Online Associate Degrees Bachelor Degrees Broker Real Estate License Business & E-Commerce Canadian Online Schools Christian Education Computer Science Criminal Justice Degrees Engineering Colleges GED High School Diploma US High School Directory Graphic Designer Health Care Homeland Security Home Inspector Hotel & Restaurant Human Services Interior Design Information Technology MBA - Masters Programs Natural Health Schools Nursing - RN to BSN Paralegal - Law Degrees Psychology Programs Real Estate School Teaching - Teachers (CTE) US Military Web Development CAMPUS PROGRAMS Accounting Advertising Universities Arts & Design Auto Mechanic AutoCAD & Drafting Aviation Mechanic Business Schools Computer Programming Continuing Education Criminal Justice Culinary & Cooking Dental Office Assistant Diesel Mechanic Training English (ESL) College Engineering Courses Fashion Design Fashion Merchandising Film & Photography Graphic Design Gunsmithing Training Heating - HVAC/R Health Claims Specialist HomeLand Security Hotel & Restaurant Interior Design Information Technology IT Training & Certification Massage Therapy Medical Administrative Medical Billing & Coding Motorcycle Mechanic Microsoft Certifications Nursing Office Software Training Pharmacy Technician Paralegal & Law Real Estate Schools Refrigeration Air Conditioning Surgical Technologists Technology Travel & Tourism Veterinary Science Video Game Art Webmaster Certification Program Offerings: Online Real Estate Licence Renewals for the State of California for Brokers, Salesperson and Agents. We also offer Real Estate Appraisal Licenses for the States of California, Utah, Washington, Wyoming, South Dakota, Idaho, Iowa, Wisconsin, Louisiana, Virginia and the District of Columbia. Highlights for Real Estate, Agents, Brokers & Salespersons Real estate brokers and sales agents often work evenings and weekends, and are always on call to suit the needs of clients. A license is required in every State and the District of Columbia. Our feature schools offer accredited licence for newcomer and renewals for the professional. Well-trained, ambitious people who enjoy selling should have the best chance for success in the field of Real Estate. Real Estate Brokers - Salespersons - Agents One of the most complex and important financial events in peoples lives is the purchase or sale of a home or investment property. As a result, people usually seek the help of real estate brokers and sales agents or salesperson when buying or selling real estate. Real estate brokers and sales agents have a thorough knowledge of the real estate market in their community. They know which neighborhoods will best fit clients needs and budgets. They are familiar with local zoning and tax laws and know where to obtain financing. Agents and brokers also act as an intermediary in price negotiations between buyers and sellers. Real estate agents usually are independent sales workers who provide their services to a licensed real estate broker on a contract basis. In return, the broker pays the agent a portion of the commission earned from the agent's sale of the property. Brokers are independent business people who sell real estate owned by others; they also may rent and manage properties for a fee. When selling real estate, brokers arrange for title searches and for meetings between buyers and sellers where details of the transactions are agreed upon and the new owners take possession. A broker may help to arrange favorable financing from a lender for the prospective buyer that often makes the difference between success and failure in closing a sale. In some cases, brokers and agents assume primary responsibility for closing sales; in others, lawyers or lenders do this. Brokers supervise agents who may have many of the same job duties. Brokers also manage their own offices, advertise properties, and handle other business matters. Some combine other types of work, such as selling insurance or practicing law, with their real estate business. There is more to an agent or broker's job than making sales. They must have properties to sell. Consequently, they spend a significant amount of time obtaining listings owner agreements to place properties for sale with the firm. When listing a property for sale, agents and brokers compare the listed property with similar properties that have recently sold to determine its competitive market price. Once the property is sold, the agent who sold the property and the agent who obtained the listing both receive a portion of the commission. Thus, agents who sell a property they also listed can increase their commission. Most real estate brokers and sales agents sell residential property. A small number, usually employed in large or specialized firms, sell commercial, industrial, agricultural, or other types of real estate. Every specialty requires knowledge of that particular type of property and clientele. Selling or leasing business property requires an understanding of leasing practices, business trends, and location needs. Agents who sell or lease industrial properties must know about the region's transportation, utilities, and labor supply. Whatever the type of property, the agent or broker must know how to meet the client's particular requirements. Before showing residential properties to potential buyers, agents meet with buyers to get a feeling for the type of home the buyers would like. In this pre qualifying phase, the agent determines how much buyers can afford to spend. In addition, they usually sign a loyalty contract which states the agent will be the only one to show them houses. An agent or broker uses a computer to generate lists of properties for sale, their location and description, and available sources of financing. In some cases, agents and brokers use computers to give buyers a virtual tour of properties in which they are interested. Buyers can view interior and exterior images or floor plans without leaving the real estate office. Agents may meet several times with prospective buyers to discuss and visit available properties. Agents identify and emphasize the most pertinent selling points. To a young family looking for a house, they may emphasize the convenient floor plan, the area's low crime rate, and the proximity to schools and shopping centers. To a potential investor, they may point out the tax advantages of owning a rental property and the ease of finding a renter. If bargaining over price becomes necessary, agents must carefully follow their client's instructions and may have to present counter-offers in order to get the best possible price. Once both parties have signed the contract, the real estate broker or agent must see to it that all special terms of the contract are met before the closing date. For example, the agent must make sure the mandated and agreed-to inspections, including the home, termite, and radon inspections, take place. Also, if the seller agrees to any repairs, the broker or agent must see they are made. Increasingly, brokers and agents handle environmental problems by making sure the properties they sell meet environmental regulations. For example, they may be responsible for dealing with lead paint on the walls. While loan officers, attorneys, or other persons handle many details, the agent must ensure that they are completed. 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MiNC offers prime investment properties at former home of Wimbledon Football Club, London | MiNC Property Enterprises Thursday, December 29 - 2005 Home | E-mail | MediaCentre | User Login AME Info - the ultimate Middle East business resource AME Info - Arabic Version Index : Company News : MiNC Property Enterprises Browse related articles Next article » MiNC offers prime investment properties at former home of Wimbledon Football Club, London MiNC Property Enterprises, the Dubai based property wealth managers, has announced its latest property offering at the former home of Wimbledon Football Club at Plough Lane, South West London. United Arab Emirates: Sunday, December 18 - 2005 at 16:00 GMT+4 Haroon Mahmood, Chairman of MiNC Property Enterprises. sponsored link What is a sponsored TextLink? related stories MiNC launches Marina Suites, a new Hospitality Sector Property Investment Opportunity at Dubai Marina MiNC launches Capulet House in London New development in London's 'Third City' goes on sale MiNC offers new development in the London Docklands MiNC buys up International City buildings More MiNC Property Enterprises stories » This development by David Wilson Homes is a few minutes walk from Wimbledon Town Centre and Wimbledon Park Underground Station. It is comprised of 570 units which are expected to be ready by December 2007. MiNC is offering 54 fully furnished one bedroom apartments for sale with prices starting from £215,000 which will include a free parking space. Haroon Mahmood, Chairman of MiNC Property Enterprises, said, 'We want to bring unique investment opportunities to the doorsteps of overseas property investors in the region.' 'The Plough Lane development in Wimbledon is an upcoming residential area and holds significant potential for property appreciation. We also offer investors guaranteed rental income as a risk cushion on property investment. Our aim to be the leading property wealth manager in the region.' MiNC Property Enterprises is a well established property wealth management company with offices in Dubai, London and Johannesburg and currently manages a substantial portfolio of property including some high-profile developments in London and Dubai. The company's services include residential investment, investment portfolio development, independent mortgage/remortgage assistance, lettings and furnishing/interior design. ARTICLE OPTIONS Add to Watchlist Save E-mail Print PDF Log in to request more information from MiNC Property Enterprises Related site: http://www.mincproperty.com Notes and media contacts For further information, please contact: John Hobday Citigate / Incepta Middle East Telephone: 04 332 8832 Mobile: 050 464 8706 Manash Bhuyan Citigate / Incepta Middle East Telephone: 04 332 8832 Mobile: 050 841 9631 Simon Everest MiNC Property Enterprises Telephone: 04 3300334 Mobile: 050 4584818 Headquartered in London with offices in Dubai and South Africa, MiNC Property Enterprises has more than 27 years experience in the international property market. MiNC is a property wealth manager which focuses on delivering higher returns on its portfolio of international properties. MiNC has an ongoing strategy to own joint-venture stakes in new developments which result in cost savings that can be passed on to potential investors. MiNC also provides mortgages, furnishing, management, maintenance and other turnkey services to property buyers and investors. Posted by Anne-Birte Stensgaard, Senior News Editor Sunday, December 18 - 2005 at 16:00 UAE local time (GMT+4) Replication or redistribution in whole or in part is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of AME Info FZ LLC. 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Ex-Treasury chief Draghi to head Bank of Italy (Reuters) Reuters - Mario Draghi, an investment banker andformer Treasury official, was named Bank of Italy governor onThursday to succeed Antonio Fazio, who quit over a banktakeover scandal that tainted the country's image. London shares end firmer (AFP) AFP - Leading shares closed higher, with gains in Hilton and further strength across the mining sector helping the FTSE 100 reach fresh 4-1/2 year highs in the last full trading session of 2005, dealers said. Putin sees 'crisis' as Russia-Ukraine gas dispute goes to the wire (AFP) AFP - Russia and Ukraine are in "real crisis," President Vladimir Putin said, as negotiations to resolve a gas price dispute went to the wire ahead of a January 1 deadline for Ukraine to accept a steep increase or see supplies cut off. 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Naples Real Estate, Naples Florida Real Estate, Naples FL Real Estate - Berry Realty Group Site Map Naples Real Estate , Naples Florida Real Estate , Marco Island real estate , and homes for sale in Collier County , Bonita Springs , and Estero . See Naples Florida Real Estate We're #1 For A Reason! Home | Neighborhood Tours | Buying | Selling | Featured Homes | Search For A Home | Life in SWF Your Guide To Naples and Southwest Florida Real Estate Home Online Relocation Guide Neighborhood Tours Free Market Analysis Map of Naples Rentals and Leases Real Estate Blog What Is Your Home Worth? Meet Our Team Maps Newsletter Mortgage Beach Cam (Live) Contact Us Email Us Local Resources Commercial Properties Links E-Pros Scott Berry ABR, E-Pro Sun Realty 3757 Tamiami Trail North Naples, FL 34103 800-450-0198 239-450-0290 Your Ultimate Naples Florida Real Estate Guide Scott Berry and The Berry Realty Group Scott Berry Was Recently Featured On ABC News! Awarded Top 10% in the Nation for Consumer Satisfaction by the Internet Consumer Group OTHER HOT REAL ESTATE ARTICLES MORE NAPLES FLORIDA REAL ESTATE STATISTICS >> Whether you are buying or selling property in Naples or Southwest Florida, we have assembled a comprehensive set of tools to make the process easier. YOUR Naples Florida Real Estate Agents! IF YOU ARE NEW TO PURCHASING OR SELLING NAPLES FLORIDA REAL ESTATE If you are new to purchasing or selling in Naples, you have definitely come to the right place. Real estate practices vary from state to state, and even among counties. We know the real estate market better than anyone else, and we would love to assist you. 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We know the real estate market better than anyone else, and we would love to assist you. Naples Real Estate Directory Naples Florida Real Estate Directory Whether you are buying or selling property in Bonita Springs or Southwest Florida, we have assembled a comprehensive set of tools to make the process easier. YOUR Bonita Springs Florida Real Estate Agents! IF YOU ARE NEW TO PURCHASING OR SELLING BONITA SPRINGS FLORIDA REAL ESTATE If you are new to purchasing or selling in Bonita Springs, you have definitely come to the right place. Real estate practices vary from state to state, and even among counties. We know the real estate market better than anyone else, and we would love to assist you. Whether you are renting or Looking for a Naples Florida Rental, we have assembled a comprehensive set of tools to make the process easier. YOUR Naples Florida Rental Agents! IF YOU ARE NEW TO RENTING OR LEASING NAPLES FLORIDA REAL ESTATE If you are new to renting or leasing in Naples, you have definitely come to the right place. Rental markets, policies, and practices vary from state to state, and even among counties. We know the Naples rental market better than anyone else, and we would love to assist you. Naples Florida Rentals Search this site powered by FreeFind See Us In The See Us In The Florida Real Estate Directory Sand Dollar Title Group, Inc. Naples Title Services This site features Naples real estate , and homes for sale, land for sale and other real estate for sale in Naples Florida, The Moorings, Pelican Marsh, Pelican Bay Real Estate, Vanderbilt Beach, Barefoot Beach, Park Shore, Port Royal, Old Naples, Bonita Springs, Estero, Marco Island and neighboring communities. Search this site for homes for sale in Collier County communities including, Naples, Pelican Marsh , The Moorings, Bonita Springs, Estero, Marco Island,Pelican Bay , Vanderbilt Beach , Barefoot Beach , Park Shore , Port Royal , Olde Naples , and find your dream home! Scott Berry, and the Berry Realty Group ,can help you buy , sell or lease a home or other real estate throughout the Collier County,Naples , and the surrounding communities. Naples Real Estate , Naples Florida Real Estate Naples Real Estate, Naples Florida Real Estate Naples Real Estate, Naples Florida Real Estate Real Estate Banner Network Find our listing in the directory at Real Estate & Mortgages Pelican Marsh, Pelican Marsh Real Estate Alpharetta Georgia Real Estate Crete hotel , apartments for holidays Crete - Greece flights All Links Directory Florida Real Estate SeekOn/Real Estate Indexed by State 1000's of FREE Promotional Resources = Reciprocal links exchange database and website promotion resources and more! 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Pondering Real Estate Pondering Real Estate Adam Hamilton August 23, 2002 2913 Most Americans' largest asset is their home. With chaotic and turbulent economic times upon us, how will residential real estate perform in the coming years. Some thoughts... One of the greatest blessings of writing publicly is the continual stream of feedback I am offered from folks around the world. They let me know when I am wrong, help shape my worldviews and opinions, and offer dazzling new ideas that are often absolutely brilliant. Without everyone who graciously writes in to help deepen my own understanding, my own thought processes would rapidly stagnate. I am always grateful for feedback, positive, neutral, or negative. The people who take the time to write really augment the crucial foundational base off which my thoughts articulated in these essays are formed and polished. One of the most common questions people have, especially those writing from the States, regards real estate. For Americans, real estate, in the form of their primary family home, is often the largest asset they command. The value of real estate, especially the price trend, is very important to countless folks across our great nation. Many Americans I hear from, especially those with a contrarian investor mindset, wonder what will happen to residential real estate prices in the United States. The question is a very complex and difficult one, for a whole myriad of reasons. I have been pondering this matter since the US equity bubbles burst and am finally ready to commit some tentative thoughts to paper on this vexing issue. A massive caveat is in order however. I am approaching this question about real estate price trends from the perspective of a speculator. Not having a background in real estate, these ideas may be completely worthless, so please dont act on anything in this essay without at least first discussing these concepts with a real estate professional you personally trust with decades of experience. I hope this essay will simply spur further thoughts and discussions. The primary issue that I have been wrestling with in my mind regarding residential real estate price trends in the coming years concerns inflation and deflation. Inflation and deflation are simply opposing monetary phenomena, but both seem to be attacking our fragile post-bust economy in the US with great fury from opposite sides. For some background on these two titanic forces, please see my Inflation or Deflation? essay published last December. Inflation is spawned by the hooligans at the Federal Reserve printing too much paper (or electronic) money, which they have been doing in spades in recent years in a vain and fruitless attempt to stop the normal post-bubble bust process from running its full course. In the last 12 months, the various US money supply measures have exploded up with astounding violence. The absolute year-over-year M1 inflation is 5.2%, MZM 12.7%, M2 7.9%, and M3 7.4%. These numbers are downright frightening in light of historical inflationary precedent! In an inflationary environment, relatively more money chases after relatively fewer goods, services, and real estate. If the amount of money in circulation is rising faster than available real estate in the areas in which people want to live, residential real estate prices should rise. Realtors use this inflation idea to convince their customers that land prices should perpetually rise because land is scarce. Unfortunately, thats not the whole story. While real estate professionals constantly bombard us with marketing propaganda claiming that land is scarce and no more is being made, that is a myth. One example why is evident in multi-story buildings. A 10-story structure, for example, has about 10x the usable space as a single story structure, but has the same footprint in raw land terms. Land itself is not scarce, just land in locations where people want to live. For example, the sparsely-populated state of Montana has about 147,000 square miles of area, or roughly 94m acres. Assuming that only 2/3 of Montanas land is useable (the rest might be mountains or lakes, or streets in cities), that leaves 63m acres. If the entire US population is 287m people, they could all move to Montana and each live in modest estates of almost 1/4 acre, or 9,500 square feet. If their houses took up 1/3 of their plots, and each had a basement and two aboveground stories, every American could live in Montana in individual 9,500 square feet mini-mansions! Land is not scarce in general. I have seen land sell in the North Dakota Badlands for $25 per acre. I have heard of deals involving vast tracts of land in northern Australia going for under $1 per acre. Land is relatively scarce in small areas in which lots of people want or need to live however, such as New York Citys Manhattan Island. Monetary inflation should indeed bode well for real estate prices, but where will it strike? If US monetary inflation bids on barren lands in the Western states for example, residential real estate in the big Eastern cities might not benefit. Just because the general economic environment in the US is highly inflationary thanks to the Feds obnoxious and practically criminal monetary growth, that doesnt necessarily mean real estate in a given small corner of the US will do well. And then we must consider deflation! Deflation is caused by relatively less money chasing relatively more goods, services, and real estate. In deflationary environments money supplies shrink and prices drop. As long as the American people allow the private Federal Reserve bank to continue its tyranny of inflationary theft, there will never be less money in the US economy than there is today. But, muddying the waters even further, the historical line between money and credit is now exceedingly blurry. Because Americans love going into debt, they insist on buying their houses on time, with borrowed money at high interest rates, rather than working hard, saving the funds themselves, and paying cash when they can afford to buy a house outright. While deflation in the US money supplies is probably impossible with the Fed around, deflation in debt, or credit, is already happening. With Americans not actually buying houses outright but really in effect borrowing them from banks, any contraction in available debt will leave less credit available to chase houses. With less credit chasing residential real estate, prices will be forced to fall. But, just as with inflation, it is difficult or impossible to predict how the contraction in general credit available to buy houses will affect real estate in any given small area of the United States. Confused yet? Me too. There are both titanic inflationary and monstrous deflationary forces barreling down on the United States. But, residential real estate markets are all local and many will be affected differently. Deflationary forces could win out in New York City for instance, causing home values to plummet while at the same time inflationary forces win out in Wyoming causing house prices to rise. Real estate is all local. In the stock markets, it is meaningless whether you buy a share of a publicly-traded company in New York or California. In real estate where you buy your house is everything! Location, location, location. Since all real estate markets are really local, perhaps there are some warning signs that you can watch for in your little corner of America to warn of impending real estate price drops. While national generalizations about monetary inflation or debt/credit deflation regarding real estate are tough to make, zooming in to the local level for analysis has a much higher probability of success. Stock speculators throughout history have learned to carefully monitor equity markets for danger signs of maturing bubbles. All markets, including real estate, move in great cycles throughout history, marked by rampant euphoria at the tops and popular indifference at the bottoms. Perhaps applying some common bubble warning signs in equity markets to your local real estate market will yield some interesting fruit. Three common warning signs for equity bubbles are parabolic price rises, excessive valuations, and overwhelming euphoria. In real estate, parabolic price rises happen when a local market witnesses prices rocketing up by 15%+ per year, for years in a row. If you go to your local library and look at old newspaper classified ads, or else secure local data from your hometown real estate professional, you can easily graph it in Excel. If prices of comparable homes across time are shooting up on a long-term zeroed-chart like a ballistic missile, like the bubbles in the NASDAQ 2000 and DJIA 1929, you are most likely in the belly of the beast, a local unsustainable real estate bubble. Check out bubble growth graphed, it sticks out like a central banker at a rock concert! This graph shows values indexed to 100, but you can just as easily think of them in terms of dollars, starting out at $100k. Imagine you bought a house 25 years ago for $100k, a lot of money back then. If your house price appreciated by 5% per year compounded annually, it would now be worth $339k, which is totally plausible and makes sense. On the other hand, if your house had appreciated by 15% each year, it would now be worth $3,292k, or $3.3m! This is a massive increase in price, and it ought to throw up big red warning flags all across your cranium. Does it make sense for a $100k house to become a $3.3m house in only 25 years? Absolutely not, that is just silly! As the graph above shows, abnormally high growth rates make for parabolic charts, bubbles that look just like the stock market variety. If your local real estate market is ascending parabolically like the NASDAQ of 1997-2000, you are in a bubble. History unambiguously shows that no financial trend continues in the same direction forever and all bubbles ultimately pop. Unrealistic annual growth rates are a key bubble warning sign. For a deeper discussion of unrealistic growth rates over the long-term, please see my essay The Elusive Long-Term from last August. Another warning sign of equity bubbles is excessive valuations. In the stock markets, valuations are most commonly measured by the formidable yet often scorned price-to-earnings ratio. The historical average P/E ratio for US equity markets is 13.5x earnings. We can also apply this concept to real estate holdings. While most people buy a house simply to live in, it is also possible to buy a house to use as a rental property. In a residential house used as a single-family rental, there is a price, the cash paid for the house, and an earnings stream, the rent the family pays to the owner. With a real estate P and E, we can compute a rough real estate valuation multiple. If a rental property costs $100k to buy, and rents for $1000 per month, or $12k per year, its P/E ratio is 8.3. Even though most families dont own a separate rental property, with a little legwork you can check your local newspapers and calculate some rough P/E proxies for your area. Find houses for sale similar to yours to get price data points. Find houses for rent similar to yours to get earnings data points. Divide the P by the E, and you have a rough valuation estimate. I dont know what a reasonable average long-term residential real-estate P/E is. I suspect it is probably in the 10-20 range though, as that implies a 5% to 10% return on the owners capital, which is in line with historical returns available across a broad market spectrum. If you find that houses in your area are renting for implied P/Es of under 20 or so, that is a good sign that house prices may be fair. Conversely, if you find houses in your area renting for implied P/Es of over 20, valuations are probably too high and you should be wary of a potential real estate bubble. Another common warning sign of equity bubbles is rampant and unbridled widespread euphoria. Remember the NASDAQ in 1999 and early 2000? It was unreal! All anyone ever talked about was the NASDAQ, how boring. As a hard-traveling consulting road warrior at the time, I remember even the shoeshine boys at airports were talking about their tech stock investments as they polished shoes. It was just crazy, just as brilliant historians like Charles Mackay of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds fame (written in 1841) warned us it would be. It is difficult to empirically quantify euphoria, but there is no mistaking it if you keep your ears open and pay attention to what folks are talking about in your social circles. If you find yourself in a local situation where the preferred topic of conversation at every social get-together is always residential real estate and the great wealth to be made in home ownership, chances are euphoria is setting in and you should proceed with great caution. Just as parabolic price rises, excessive valuations, and overwhelming euphoria are danger signs of bubble tops in the stock markets, they are also equally valid danger signs in local real estate markets. It is probably a wise idea to periodically monitor these three fronts. In addition to stock market-like traits, there are also other factors that affect local real estate prices. These include net local migration patterns, income trends, and interest rates. One of the most important local factors in house prices is migration. If you live in or near a community that is growing as more people move in each year, that increases the pool of potential bidders competing for local houses. Prices are far more likely to rise in an environment of net in-migration. On the other hand, if your community is shrinking, both the number of people and amount of capital available to throw at residential real estate dwindles. This is a bad omen for future real estate prices in your area. Typically cities grow and rural areas shrink as people seek the jobs available in cities. This is not always the case though. As the Information Age continues to evolve, a new population of workers is growing, the information worker. Info workers deal purely in information, like a software programmer. It is often not important where they live, as they rely on the Internet to work remotely with their colleagues and clients. Info workers often earn high salaries and have the means to bid up home prices. Zeal LLC , my company, is an example of an Information Age venture. My partners and I can research, consult, trade, and write from anywhere on Earth. It makes absolutely no difference to you whether I penned this essay in Alaska, Australia, Argentina, or the Azores. Info workers, whose ranks will grow dramatically in the coming decade, are very blessed to be able to live and work from anywhere. So, if you live in an area of exceptional natural beauty and very high quality of life, prime rural areas, an influx of urban information refugees from the decaying carcasses of the megalopoli will probably help support real estate prices in your location even through tough economic times. It may make sense to buy real estate in elite communities like the Colorado or California mountain resort towns even if the US economy faces very turbulent times ahead. The Information Age will probably totally alter the dynamics of rural real estate in prized areas. Another factor to consider is income trends in your area. Ultimately, real estate prices in a given location can never increase faster than income over the long-term. Even for the vast majority who choose to go into debt to live in a house, the level of debt service they can afford is totally dependent on their income. If general income trends in your community are rising, that is a great sign and is bullish for real estate prices. On the other hand, if general income is falling, for any reason, that suggests real estate prices will have to correct downward to adjust for the loss of debt-servicing ability necessary for folks to borrow money and buy residential real estate. Interest rate levels are also intimately tied into this whole debt service capability. As all those burdened with a mortgage know, for many years most of the monthly payments are almost totally interest. It takes a long time and a huge amount of money dumped down the mortgage black hole, into bankers pockets, before the amortization starts taking good-sized bites out of principal each month. Amazingly, in the first 2/3 of a typical 30-year mortgages lifespan, the interest portion of each monthly payment exceeds the principal portion. So, if interest rates are heading higher due to Greenspans promiscuous inflation as I have discussed in past essays including Bond Anomalies Abound , it will severely retard debt-financed residential real estate purchases nationwide. Although interest rates havent turned north yet, history suggests they will be forced higher sooner or later as the bubble excesses are painfully squeezed out of the US economy. In summary, attempting to divine real estate price trends is very difficult in a macro sense. There are a great deal of diverse variables that affect real estate prices. In addition, unlike the stock market, there is no national real estate market. All real estate is local, so national trends must be examined for your particular situation in light of the local realities in your community. Nevertheless, if you do your own due diligence and integrate local real estate data you uncover into national post-bubble trends, you should be able to emerge with a fairly good idea of where your local residential real estate prices might be heading. Adam Hamilton, CPA August 23, 2002 Do you enjoy these essays? Please subscribe to our acclaimed private Zeal Intelligence newsletter today to see the good stuff each month, including our specific stock and options trades based on our research! For more information ... Zeal Intelligence For a FREE sample ... FREE Samples! To subscribe ... 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