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Housing prices can go down. - Sep. 19, 2005 Web CNN/Money Home News Markets Technology Commentary Personal Finance Autos Real Estate Real Estate Buying & Selling SAVE | EMAIL | PRINT | SUBSCRIBE TO MONEY | Real estate: When booms go bust... Home prices can and do go down. Here's what declines have looked like in the past. September 19, 2005: 6:21 PM EDT By Les Christie, CNN/Money staff writer NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Across America, real-estate prices continue to confound the skeptics. Many Americans have come to think of their homes as rock-solid investments with little downside. And why not: For the past 40 years, national home prices have surpassed inflation by a percentage point or two on average and there has never been a national real-estate bust. But are people ignoring the risks? "I think Americans are not well aware that many markets are risky," says Ingo Winzer, president of Local Market Monitor, which sells real-estate market analysis to corporate and consumer clients. Those investors should realize that price reversals do happen, even if only locally rather than nation-wide. A look at the not so distant past reveals numerous examples of cities that went through housing busts -- followed by years of falling prices. Some have never fully recovered. Once hot, then not Take Los Angeles, where real estate has been turbocharged for nearly 10 years. But the early 1990s were a different story; the average house price in L.A. dropped from $222,200 in 1990 to $176,300 in 1996, a loss of 20.7 percent. Furthermore, those are nominal prices, not real values. To calculate the loss more realistically you would have to figure in the cost of inflation: $222,200 in 1990 would have been worth $266,700 in 1996 dollars, which means the actual loss for homeowners buying in 1990 and selling in 1996 was closer to 34 percent. Not exactly the Nasdaq meltdown for investors, but getting closer. But that's L.A., where the aerospace- and film and television production-based economy can be a bit volatile. What about cities in more traditional areas? How did things play out in Peoria, Ill. for instance? Not well, not in the early 1980s at least. Peoria experienced real-estate price drops amounting to more than 15 percent tied, in part, to strikes and lay-offs at Caterpillar, the city's biggest employer. In 1981, the average home there sold for $60,800. By 1985, that had dipped to $51,400. "Oil patch" cities, suffered even sharper declines. In Oklahoma City prices plummeted 26 percent from 1983 to 1988. It took 15 years for prices there to return to nominal 1983 levels. Houston home prices fell 22 percent from $111,000 to $86,800, and also took 15 years to rebound. Counting inflation, the average Houston home, which cost just $159,700 in 2004, is actually worth less now than it was 22 years ago. When, adjusted for inflation, a home cost about $219,000 in 1983. In Oklahoma City, the inflation-adjusted price in 1983 was $196,600. Today, it's just $135,100. The boom will end, but when? History seems to dictate that the current price boom is at risk. One factor is that real-estate investing has spiked, pressuring prices upward. In Phoenix, according to Bill Jilbert, president and COO of the Coldwell Banker brokerage there, investors from Nevada and California have invaded the Arizona market, and "affordable housing has been pushed to extremes." That story is echoed in many local markets. Low interest rates have also kept real estate bubbling. Cheap mortgages enable entry level buyers to get into the market and wealthier ones to afford more expensive houses. That means higher demand and higher prices at all market levels. Winzer says that low rates "have extended the cycle." Winzer assesses local market risk by taking into account economic and population growth, construction costs, vacancy rates, and, especially, income. He also considers such factors as density and access to open land. Prices in densely settled New York have always been higher than those of cities with lots of space for new housing. Winzer considers real estate "very risky right now." And because the price run up has been so high he expects the adjustment period where home prices stagnate as income catches up -- to take a very long time. Before they purchase a home, buyers better figure on scenario of many years of little or slow home-price appreciation. Counting on home price increases could be a big mistake. The boom has already gone on longer than Winzer thought it would. "Bubbles do tend to last longer than most people expect," he says, "and end quicker." _____________________________________________________________________________________ Think you're living in a bubble? Here are four strategies . Watch out: 5 crazy loans that could hurt you Hot markets have not slowed much yet. See that story by clicking here . For more articles on Real Estate, subscribe to MONEY Magazine . The Hot List Most profitable renovations How risky is your 401(k)? Big new tax credits for hybrid cars More Buying & Selling Least affordable rental markets Take this home market...and love it Double jeopardy for landlords contact us | magazine customer service | site map | glossary | RSS | press room OTHER NEWS: CNN | SI | Fortune | Business2.0 = Money subscribers = Premium content -- * - Time reflects local markets trading time. † - Intraday data is at least 15-minutes delayed. Disclaimer © 2005 Cable News Network LP, LLLP. A Time Warner Company ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms under which this service is provided to you. privacy policy Reprints of site stories are available. Top Stories Most overvalued housing markets Risks to the economy in 2006 Which was the worst ad of all in 2005? After the ride, a rest Hilton brands reunite after 40 years YOUR E-MAIL ALERTS Follow the news that matters to you. 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Land For Sale

Homes on Sale - Browse - property for sale by owner Sell Car | Insurance | mortgage | credit cards | loans | England (3219) Scotland (422) Wales (294) Ireland (244) Europe (7560) USA (823) Canada (265) Africa (392) Asia (1150) Caribbean (91) Middle East (450) Oceania (143) All England Scotland Wales Ireland Europe USA Canada Africa Asia Caribbean Middle East Oceania Any words All words Exact Phrase Advanced Search Search By AD # villa in Marbella REDUCED 1. 200 yards from beach. 2. 39K - 3/4 Bed. Sea Captains House 3. bargain house near greek and turkish border ,spa resort ,lakes 4. Jumeirah Islands, Dubai 5. Disney Orlando 5 minutes 6. Dalmatian old stone house/TRGOSTAN 7. Samui Island Luxury House + Red teak wood furniture no fee & Tax, !!Spacial price!! 8. 1 Bedroom and Studios in Dubai International City 38k+ Freehold (Dubai Property) 9. Attractive house near Greek border 10. FREEHOLD PROPERTY DUBAI MARINA Online Now Welcome, guest ! We have 4 members and 376 guests online. Home : there are (15074) homes for sale by owner! Sell your house online today! It is free to advertise this month normally £25 now £0.00 until sold ... hurry offer lasts only until January 2006! [ register now ] Sell your house FAST! Buy a " For Sale " board England (3221) English property for sale, rent, PX ... Scotland (422) Scottish property for sale, rent, PX ... Wales (295) Properties on sale in Wales Ireland (244) Properties on sale in Ireland Europe (7569) Properties on sale in Europe USA (826) Properties on sale in the USA Canada (270) Properties for sale in Canada Africa (393) Properties on sale in Africa Asia (1150) Properties on sale in Asia Caribbean (91) Buy and sell property in the Caribbean Middle East (450) Properties on sale in the Middle East Oceania (143) Properties on sale in Australia, New Zealand, Fiij Featured homes - being sold by owner Cosy And Spacious 4 Bed Room Apartment Almere P269, 4 bed, Price euros180000 Detached Country House with 3acre Vineyard Balcombe, 4 bed, Price 895000 Stunning Victorian Semi-Detached House OFFERS Accepted Saltash, 4 bed, Price 245000 House for Sale (URL to 360' Virtual Tour) Brighouse (between Bradford & Huddersfield), 2 bed, Price 127500 Beautiful 4 bed family home on private estate Latimer, 4 bed, Price 379950 Spanish Holiday Home 4 Sale Quesada, 2 bed, Price Euros154500 Luxury Villa In Warsaw, Poland (European Union) Warsaw, 4 bed, Price EUR3900000 Impressive timber-framed family home Hoxne, 3 bed, Price 440000 3 houses in Ballantyne Park - extended family living with guesthouse opportunity Harare, more than 12 bed, Price USD450000 Restored stone house close to lake at Agia West of Hania Crete Hania, 2 bed, Price euro87500 House for sale Garforth, 3 bed, Price 153000 Polruan/Fowey with harbour views Polruan/Fowey, 2 bed, Price 315000 Latest 10 Property Ads Photo Title Beds, City Price Posted 1 Bedroom Apartment in Downtown Yerevan 1, Yerevan USD 90000 29, Dec 2005 Country Residence 5, Bulawayo US$ 0 29, Dec 2005 Large 5 Bedroom Terrace 5, Liverpool 195000 29, Dec 2005 6 Bedroom Art Deco Flat 6, Saltdean 365000 29, Dec 2005 France , Corse : House with a swimming pool near sea NOW 420000 5, France, bastia 390000 29, Dec 2005 Established Gite Complex For Sale 10, Pouligny Notre Dame 425000 29, Dec 2005 HOUSE IN COSTA DAURADA 3, TORREDEMBARRA ( LA POBLA DE MONTORNS) 228385 29, Dec 2005 Equestrian Property on 20.000 square meters 3, Susteren EUR 1135000 29, Dec 2005 Near BISCAROSSE St Julien en Borne 1, St Julien en Borne Euro 125000 29, Dec 2005 Detached 4 bedroom villa 4, Kusadasi 49500 29, Dec 2005 Featured Ad's Home LOAN Conveyancing Home Insurance Credit Cards For Sale Board Compare Mortgages Mortgage calculator Property Books Finance Check? Guides Savings Calculator Estate Agents Spin Selling your own home Adding a photo Standard Loans Loan APR Northern Rock Loan 5.6% Liverpool Victoria Loan 5.8% cahoot fixed rate loan 5.8% Amberloan 6.2% Home | Place Ad | Browse | Terms | Privacy | Top Sites | Sitemap | Forum | Links | Services | Contact us ©2005 Homes On Sale

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display-points -- This page uses JavaScript. Please enable it or upgrade your browser. UK Property Web - Home Buying and Selling Your browser does not support the script needed to run elements on this website. Please upgrade your browser or enable javascript in your browser's properties. Houses for sale. Dedicated to helping you buy and sell property throughout the UK. Houses For Sale UK Home :: Buy :: Sell :: Letting :: Services :: About us Property and Houses For Sale Privately in the UK We would like to welcome you to UK Property Web on your first visit! If your selling or buying you've come to the right place, we have 100's of houses for sale from all over the UK. Please be sure to contact us if you think we can help you purchase or sell a property. Advertise with us. Houses For Sale with UK Property Web Enter the name of a 'Town', 'County' or 'Region' and hit GO. e.g. 'Southampton' or 'Hampshire' or England. You can also search by Ref number enter all the numbers after Ref UKPW:00 UK Property Web is associated with the following websites: Search for houses from the comfort of your own home: advertise with us, you advertise with them... Houses for sale, flats, apartments, bungalows, cottages... advertisment You won't find another website that offers the same for less! Total Control of Enquiries No Commission Massive Savings Coverage Over 5 Websites Quality Photographs and Descriptions Wide Range of Properties Simple Property Search Total Coverage Over the UK UK PROPERTY WEB NEWS & UPDATES ~ Concerned about the housing market? Click here to find out more ~ ~ Will there be a repeat of the 1990 housing crash? ~ ~ Property Secrets ~ back to top @ UK Property Web we accept credit cards, debit cards and cheques. UK Property Web, 1 Pipit Close, Weymouth, Dorset, DT3 5RT. Email: contact us There are 23 active visitors. web design by

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