real estate prices in
Towards Liberty International Society for Individual Liberty > Don't Get Stuck Paying "Zombie" Debt – Towards Liberty – A commentary on current events by Jarret Wollstein The Coming Real Estate Collapse – 05-24-05 – As real estate prices in much of the U.S. continues to soar, evidence is growing that both commercial and residential real estate is greatly over-priced in many of the country's hottest markets – including New York City, Boston, Washington, D.C., Miami, and much of California. One clear indication that real estate is overpriced is that rents are now a fraction of mortgage payments, and are continuing to fall in terms of real dollars. For instance, Forbes reports that cash return on income-producing real estate has fallen from 9% a few years ago, to just 5% to 7% now, and is likely to go lower. You can clearly see why rents are falling in overheated markets like California's Silicon Valley. In the San Francisco-San Jos corridor, there is currently over 33 million square feet of un-rented (and in many cases never occupied) commercial space. Last year, just 65 thousand square feet of this enormous inventory was rented. At that rate, it will take over 507 years to rent all unoccupied commercial real estate in Silicon Valley. Since most investors can't wait over half a millennium for returns on their capital, what's more likely is that commercial real estate prices in this "hot market" will soon fall like a rock. Another indication that real estate is poised for a fall, that fewer and fewer people can afford today's astronomically-priced houses. For instance, in California – where ordinary 2,000 square foot, 3-bedroom homes are going for $500,000 to $2,000,000+ – less than one family in six now qualifies to repurchase their own house. Another indications that real estate is ready for a fall: Of 362 U.S. metropolitan areas, about 15% are experiencing a housing "boom" – a three-year, inflation adjusted price gain of 30% or more – according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. That's the highest number of boom markets ever recorded in the 30 years that they have been tracked. In Americas hottest real estate markets – including the big cities in New York, Florida and California – housing prices went up by 15% to 35% in the past year alone. This is clearly unsustainable. No matter how low interest rates are and no matter how many schemes George Bush comes up with for an "ownership society," it's clear that we are rapidly reaching the point when hardly anyone can afford to buy a new house in a hot real estate market, without putting their financial future in jeopardy. So what's propping up the real estate bubble, and causing housing prices to go ever-higher, even as rents fall and commercial landlords face enormous vacancy rates? Besides artificially low interest rates, the answer, in a word, is speculation. Up to one residence in three in California is now purchased not to live in, but for resale, according to the San Francisco Chronicle . The comparable figure may be as high as one property in two in the Las Vegas area. In downtown Miami, 80% of approximately 35,000 new condos now under construction or just completed, are owned by investors – not people who actually plan on living in them – according to MoneyNews.com. Call it the triumph of delusion over reality. I can't tell you how many people have told me that real estate price "can't fall, because if they did, they would be bankrupt." In other words, because they want prices to stay up, they must stay up. If you believe that, there is a nice three-bedroom fixer-upper on a dirt lot, and on the edge of an eroding cliff, in Pacifica, California, I'd like to sell you for just $2.5 million. Buy this bargain now, before the price really goes up! (This is a real example.) In the current frenzied real market, self-delusion is rampant. In Florida's red-hot real estate market, one Miami realtor recently told the New York Times , "South Florida is working off a totally new economic model than any of us have ever experienced in the past." That's precisely what executives of dot coms told investors to justify their astronomical stock prices, just before the collapse – which triggered the destruction of over $3 trillion in stock value. Unfortunately, for many overextended home owners, property prices aren't immune to the laws of economics. Property prices can and do fall in America, as witnessed by the bear markets of 1974-75, 1980-82 and 1990-92. A personal example: One Northern California home owner I know bought his 2,000 sq. ft. house for $750,000 in 1989. In 1992, he was couldn't get $450,000 for his property, and was forced to declare bankruptcy after he lost his job. Millions of overextended American families with "interest only" and adjustable rate mortgages will likely find themselves in the same boat, when mortgage interest rates edge up above 7% or 8% – which is likely by the end of this year. (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has warned that we can expect at least a 2.25% increase in interest rates in 2005, on top of the 2% increase in 2004.) The brutal financial reality is that a mere 2% rise in mortgage rates, can increase ARM payments by as much as 40% – an unsustainable burden for families living on the edge. One way or another, at best , the U.S. real estate bubble has 1 to 2 more years to run before it collapses. If you or your children are among those living in overpriced homes you can barely afford, NOW is the time to sell, when the market is at or near its peak, and before prices drop by 30% or more – and they find themselves living in a Motel 6 or in your basement. To minimize taxes on the profits, reinvest in a home in a small town or rural area where prices arent so absurd, and bank the rest. Please stay in touch! Add yourself to our e-mail list. Two times per month we send an update on the activities of our members and new features at ISIL.org. Simply enter your e-mail address here and click the button. You can easily remove yourself (unsubscribe) at any time. E-mail us at isil@isil.org if you have any personal questions or comments. E-mail address: Subscribe Unsubscribe
Land For Sale
LandAndFarm.com - Land for sale, Farms for sale, Rural Property for sale Advertise here Search Properties Wanted Auctions Newsletter Quick Start Register About My Properties Number of visitors online now: 217 Thursday, December 29, 2005 Ad Prices Help Contact Login Subscribe to Rural Property Bulletin Last Few Listings Most Viewed Least Viewed Recently Updated Search by USA Map Rural Property Sites Tool Box Get new properties in your email box! Newsletter Sign-up: yourname@xyz.com HTML TEXT For fun: old listings Contact Us Community Stats Seller emails: 102,892 Property emails: 110,227 Property Views: 13,028,620 Newsletter Subscribers: 14,850 Site Statistics Property 1761 Brokerage 15 Finance & Mortgages 3 Wanted 1 Businesses For Sale 7 Livestock 1 Rural Living 16 Miscellaneous 3 By Land Use: commercial land : 117 dairy farm : 22 fish - aquaculture : 15 forest - natural : 283 forest - planted : 116 historic : 41 horse farm : 380 hospitality : 61 hunting property : 610 livestock operation : 129 mobile home park : 4 oil or minerals : 7 orchard : 17 organic uses : 20 pasture : 319 permanent crops : 43 poultry farm : 33 recreational property : 677 residential land : 844 row crops : 107 undeveloped land : 377 vegetable farm : 15 vineyard : 15 waterfront : 152 By Country: United States : 1709 Canada : 39 South Africa : 34 Zambia : 5 Botswana : 5 Chile : 4 Argentina : 2 Belize : 2 Brazil : 2 Mozambique : 2 Australia : 1 Namibia : 1 Kenya : 1 By Price Per Acre: <$100: 8 $100 to $500 : 34 $500 to $2,000 : 280 $2,000 to $5,000 : 402 >$5,000 : 734 By Acres: <50 : 991 <200 : 1460 200 to 500 : 182 500 to 1,000 : 78 >1,000 : 108 By State/Province: Alabama : 24 Arizona : 11 Arkansas : 14 California : 20 Colorado : 29 Connecticut : 4 Florida : 88 Georgia : 283 Idaho : 12 Illinois : 29 Indiana : 7 Iowa : 9 Kansas : 17 Kentucky : 58 Louisiana : 13 Maine : 32 Maryland : 6 Massachusetts : 7 Michigan : 7 Minnesota : 16 Mississippi : 14 Missouri : 76 Montana : 6 Nebraska : 4 Nevada : 6 New Hampshire : 5 New Jersey : 16 New Mexico : 7 New York : 75 North Carolina : 59 North Dakota : 38 Ohio : 61 Oklahoma : 9 Oregon : 6 Pennsylvania : 6 South Carolina : 64 South Dakota : 22 Tennessee : 293 Texas : 27 Utah : 11 Vermont : 11 Virginia : 123 Washington : 11 West Virginia : 49 Wisconsin : 18 Wyoming : 6 Alberta : 1 British Columbia : 3 Buenos Aires Capital Federal : 1 IV Coquimbo : 1 Manitoba : 1 Mendoza : 1 New Brunswick : 11 Nova Scotia : 12 Ontario : 3 Para : 1 Quebec : 3 Queensland : 1 Saskatchewan : 5 VII Maule : 1 XI Aysen : 2 Not In USA or Canada : 1 Properties by: Land Use Country State/Province Acres Price Per Acre New York RESULTS Sort by: price size Total records: 75 Showing records: 1 to 20 Go to page : 1 2 3 4 New Search Beautiful Horse Farm ( horse farm, residential land, livestock operation) A 60 acre property with an asking price of $248,500. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: St. Lawrence. Autumn Land Sale ( recreational property, residential land) A 5.79 acre property with an asking price of $295,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Dutchess. 13acre Farm 80x40 Hbarn ( horse farm, orchard, commercial land) A 13.00 acre property. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Oswego. Lakefront Property ( waterfront, undeveloped land, residential land) A 4.00 acre property with an asking price of $74,900. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Madison. New Hunting Cabin ( hunting property, recreational property) A 6.05 acre property with an asking price of $74,900. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Chenango. 90 Acre Adirondack Mountain Retreat ( hunting property, recreational property, commercial land) A 90 acre property with an asking price of $350,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: St. Lawrence. Beautiful Farmland ( undeveloped land, organic uses, hunting property) A 323 acre property with an asking price of $597,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York 79 ( horse farm, residential land, pasture) A 79 acre property with an asking price of $899,999. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Dutchess. Western New York (Rochester Area) ( horse farm, livestock operation, recreational property) A 82 acre property with an asking price of $465,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Livingston. Old Field Farm ( horse farm, horse farm, horse farm) A 34 acre property with an asking price of $1,750,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Orange County. 80 ACRES Orange NY ( horse farm, vineyard) A 80 acre property with an asking price of $1,299,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Orange. rare Commercial Property ( commercial land, residential land) A 11.00 acre property with an asking price of $398,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Seneca. Horse Farm With Lake View ( commercial land, horse farm, pasture) A 12.26 acre property with an asking price of $189,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Oswego. 40 Acres Connects To Stateland ( residential land, recreational property, hunting property) A 40 acre property with an asking price of $175,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Chenango. $100 Reward for Renting an Apartment Millions of apartment listings nationwide. No application fee. No registration fee. No broker fee. $100.00 reward card when you rent an apartment. ...continued... Country: United States. State/Province: New York Unwanted Houses Do you own an unwanted house and need to sell quickly? NEW YORK. NEW JERSEY. CONNECTICUT. VACANT HOUSES. FORECLOSURE. PLAIN UGLY HOUSES. Houses in ...continued... Country: Other. State/Province: New York Dish Pronto The lowest all digital prices in America! 25 movie channels for 3 months free for $21.33/month! 60 channels plus one month free movie channels ...continued... Country: United States. State/Province: New York Catskill Wooded Hillside ( forest - natural, recreational property, undeveloped land) A 63 acre property with an asking price of $120,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Schoharie. Horse Farm On 29.55 Acres ( horse farm) A 29 acre property with an asking price of $435,000. This property is for sale. Country: Other. State/Province: New York. County: Chenango. Home/Horse Barn 18.19 Acres ( horse farm) A 18.19 acre property with an asking price of $449,000. This property is for sale. Country: United States. State/Province: New York. County: Chenango. Total records: 75 Showing records: 1 to 20 Go to page : 1 2 3 4 LandAndFarm.com SPONSORED RESULTS 1. Looking For NEW YORK? Find New York and more at Lycos Search. No clutter, just answers. Lycos ? Go Get It! http://www.lycos.com 2. Find NEW YORK at eBay Looking for New York? eBay has great deals on new and used electronics, cars, apparel, collectibles, sporting goods and more. If you can?t find it on eBay, it probably doesn?t exist. http://www.ebay.com 3. Shop for NEW YORK Looking for New York? MonsterMarketplace shopping directory has New York and everything else you?re looking for at one secure online location. Click to view top selling New York. http://www.monstermarketplace.com 4. Research NEW YORK at HighBeam. View free full-text articles and free premium archive previews at HighBeam Research. Find, organize and share information from 1,000s of trusted business, consumer and reference publications. http://www.highbeam.com ©1998-2005 - LandAndFarm.com - Contact Us - Privacy Notice - Disclaimer - UserAgreement - Advertise With Us
Real Estate Loan
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Selling Home
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Rental Property
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