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real estate prices in
Towards Liberty International Society for Individual Liberty > Don't Get Stuck Paying "Zombie" Debt – Towards Liberty – A commentary on current events by Jarret Wollstein The Coming Real Estate Collapse – 05-24-05 – As real estate prices in much of the U.S. continues to soar, evidence is growing that both commercial and residential real estate is greatly over-priced in many of the country's hottest markets – including New York City, Boston, Washington, D.C., Miami, and much of California. One clear indication that real estate is overpriced is that rents are now a fraction of mortgage payments, and are continuing to fall in terms of real dollars. For instance, Forbes reports that cash return on income-producing real estate has fallen from 9% a few years ago, to just 5% to 7% now, and is likely to go lower. You can clearly see why rents are falling in overheated markets like California's Silicon Valley. In the San Francisco-San Jos corridor, there is currently over 33 million square feet of un-rented (and in many cases never occupied) commercial space. Last year, just 65 thousand square feet of this enormous inventory was rented. At that rate, it will take over 507 years to rent all unoccupied commercial real estate in Silicon Valley. Since most investors can't wait over half a millennium for returns on their capital, what's more likely is that commercial real estate prices in this "hot market" will soon fall like a rock. Another indication that real estate is poised for a fall, that fewer and fewer people can afford today's astronomically-priced houses. For instance, in California – where ordinary 2,000 square foot, 3-bedroom homes are going for $500,000 to $2,000,000+ – less than one family in six now qualifies to repurchase their own house. Another indications that real estate is ready for a fall: Of 362 U.S. metropolitan areas, about 15% are experiencing a housing "boom" – a three-year, inflation adjusted price gain of 30% or more – according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. That's the highest number of boom markets ever recorded in the 30 years that they have been tracked. In Americas hottest real estate markets – including the big cities in New York, Florida and California – housing prices went up by 15% to 35% in the past year alone. This is clearly unsustainable. No matter how low interest rates are and no matter how many schemes George Bush comes up with for an "ownership society," it's clear that we are rapidly reaching the point when hardly anyone can afford to buy a new house in a hot real estate market, without putting their financial future in jeopardy. So what's propping up the real estate bubble, and causing housing prices to go ever-higher, even as rents fall and commercial landlords face enormous vacancy rates? Besides artificially low interest rates, the answer, in a word, is speculation. Up to one residence in three in California is now purchased not to live in, but for resale, according to the San Francisco Chronicle . The comparable figure may be as high as one property in two in the Las Vegas area. In downtown Miami, 80% of approximately 35,000 new condos now under construction or just completed, are owned by investors – not people who actually plan on living in them – according to MoneyNews.com. Call it the triumph of delusion over reality. I can't tell you how many people have told me that real estate price "can't fall, because if they did, they would be bankrupt." In other words, because they want prices to stay up, they must stay up. If you believe that, there is a nice three-bedroom fixer-upper on a dirt lot, and on the edge of an eroding cliff, in Pacifica, California, I'd like to sell you for just $2.5 million. Buy this bargain now, before the price really goes up! (This is a real example.) In the current frenzied real market, self-delusion is rampant. In Florida's red-hot real estate market, one Miami realtor recently told the New York Times , "South Florida is working off a totally new economic model than any of us have ever experienced in the past." That's precisely what executives of dot coms told investors to justify their astronomical stock prices, just before the collapse – which triggered the destruction of over $3 trillion in stock value. Unfortunately, for many overextended home owners, property prices aren't immune to the laws of economics. Property prices can and do fall in America, as witnessed by the bear markets of 1974-75, 1980-82 and 1990-92. A personal example: One Northern California home owner I know bought his 2,000 sq. ft. house for $750,000 in 1989. In 1992, he was couldn't get $450,000 for his property, and was forced to declare bankruptcy after he lost his job. Millions of overextended American families with "interest only" and adjustable rate mortgages will likely find themselves in the same boat, when mortgage interest rates edge up above 7% or 8% – which is likely by the end of this year. (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has warned that we can expect at least a 2.25% increase in interest rates in 2005, on top of the 2% increase in 2004.) The brutal financial reality is that a mere 2% rise in mortgage rates, can increase ARM payments by as much as 40% – an unsustainable burden for families living on the edge. One way or another, at best , the U.S. real estate bubble has 1 to 2 more years to run before it collapses. If you or your children are among those living in overpriced homes you can barely afford, NOW is the time to sell, when the market is at or near its peak, and before prices drop by 30% or more – and they find themselves living in a Motel 6 or in your basement. To minimize taxes on the profits, reinvest in a home in a small town or rural area where prices arent so absurd, and bank the rest. Please stay in touch! Add yourself to our e-mail list. Two times per month we send an update on the activities of our members and new features at ISIL.org. Simply enter your e-mail address here and click the button. You can easily remove yourself (unsubscribe) at any time. E-mail us at isil@isil.org if you have any personal questions or comments. E-mail address: Subscribe Unsubscribe
Buy Property Abroad -
Buy Property Abroad - Your House Abroad - Real Estate Investment - Holiday Homes Buy Property Abroad - Your House Abroad - Real Estate Investment - Holiday Homes Search the site: This Ring The Ring Directory for: Home | Join The Ring | Ring Homepage | Visit Random | Contact Ring Owner About the Ring Quality Control Powered by RingSurf RING DESCRIPTION: Sites of interest for those who wish to buy a property abroad, either to buy a home, house, apartment abroad or to rent. Where are we interested in? France, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Cape Verde, Morocco, Slovenia, Baltic States (Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia), Spain, Portugal, Italy, USA, ... well anywhere in the world really. We are particularly interested in personal stories and experiences, but also welcome sites which are selling houses abroad. RING STATS: There is(are) 9 active member(s) in this Ring 0 prospective member(s) is(are) waiting for Approval in the Queue View the Stats for Buy Property Abroad - Your House Abroad - Real Estate Investment - Holiday Homes ring This ring was started 2005-09-29 17:56:39 Ring Members Member sites of the Buy Property Abroad - Your House Abroad - Real Estate Investment - Holiday Homes Displaying from 1 to 9 of 9 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hit counters started November 27, 2003. 1 . Your House Abroad in Montenegro Join Date: September 29, 2005 Information on buying a house abroad, including Montenegro 2 . 123 Sudoku Join Date: October 08, 2005 Sudoku is a great thing to do whilewaiting for planes and travellingto your home abroad. There is lotsof info, games, links, books etc at this site. 3 . Cape Verde Property Join Date: October 20, 2005 Cape Verde - jewel off the African CoastInformation and links about buying a property abroad in Cabo Verde 4 . Your House Abroad Join Date: September 29, 2005 A `One-stop shop' to buying and rentinga house abroad, especially France, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Cape Verde and everywhere! 5 . Buying property in Bulgaria Join Date: October 20, 2005 Information and links about buyingBulgarian properties - EasternEurope's hotspot for investment 6 . Travel Logo ImDoku Join Date: October 20, 2005 Play Sudoku while booking yournext holiday abroad - really it'strue! Just look. 7 . Property in Spain Join Date: November 18, 2005 Spanish Property for sale - Costa del Sol Property and a wide range of properties from Spain, and around the world.Insight Spain offers a free and independent service to help you find the property of your dreams. We are not estate agents and represent YOU, the buyer, at all times.We have access to the best new developments, resales and property bargains and whatever your requirements well find your ideal property 8 . France - our experiences Join Date: October 20, 2005 Our story - a description of what wewent through in buying our houseabroad in France. Also, useful information. 9 . Melda Ozden Join Date: November 16, 2005 Estate agent in Koycegiz, Turkey. Land, houses and villas for sale. Privacy Statement | Terms of Service © 2003-2004 RingSurf.com Web Design Toronto
Land Loans The foundation
Bank of Hawaii | Land Loans e-BANKOH SIGN ON Select One ----------------------- Hawaii/Am. Samoa Guam/Saipan/Palau Learn More | Demo | Enroll Other Online Services Sign On Learn More Select one ----------------------- E-BANKOH - Hawaii & Am. Samoa - Guam/Palau/Saipan ----------------------- CREDIT CARD MGMT. ----------------------- INVESTING/WEALTH - Online Investments - Online Trust - Online 401(K) ----------------------- REG. SHAREHOLDER Customer Service Center 1-888-643-3888 (TTY 1-888-643-9888) Re-order Checks Download the Bankoh by Phone Quick Reference (PDF) Open an Account (existing customers) Apply for a Loan More Financial Planning Tools Budgeting Buying a Home Planning for Retirement Borrowing More Contact Us Locations Economics Security About BOH Community -- News Room Checking | Savings & Time Deposits | Loans | Cards | Investments & Wealth Management | IRAs | Other Land Loans The foundation to build your future. Related Links Mortgages Mortgage Rates Loan Officers How Do I Apply? Mortgage Calculators Glossary To Apply Contact a Loan Officer. Got your eye on a hot property, but not quite ready to build? A Bank of Hawaii Land Loan can help you lay the groundwork. Features and Benefits: Loans from $10,000 up to $1,000,000. Lower monthly payments. Available for owner-occupant, second home, and investor purchases. Requirements and Other Restrictions: Certain requirements and restrictions apply. Subject to loan approval. Not valid with any other offers. Careers Site Index Privacy Policy Terms of Use
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