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Real Estate Prices ---
Google Answers: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Log in | Google Answers Home View Question Ask a Question Q: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators ( Answered , 5 Comments ) Question Subject: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Category: Family and Home > Home Asked by: nronronronro-ga List Price: $25.00 Posted: 19 Apr 2005 15:33 PDT Expires: 19 May 2005 15:33 PDT Question ID: 511542 Hi There!I was goofing off today, and started looking throughwww.craigslist.com for real estate. I looked at 11 different citiesfrom San Francisco to Phoenix to Washington, D.C.Mini-Eureka moment! I noticed the number of lease-options availablehas increased significantly in each and every city. 11 of 11 towns! The last time I checked www.craigslist.com was 5 months ago.This observation sparked my rusty brain cells. There must be leadingindicators for real estate, in the same way there are leadingindicators for stocks. Here's a list of possible danger signals forreal estate off the "top of my head":1. Increasing lease-options2. Increasing number of days on the market3. Increasing number of unsold homes in a city4. Decreasing ratio of Asking Price/Transaction Price5. Increasing number of homes on the market more than 120 days6. Decreasing number of mortgage applications7. Increasing number of newspaper classified ads for real estateI'm not a real estate guy. But I'm sure some brilliant professor hasdevised a computer model to predict when real estate prices willdecline 6-12 months hence.A 5-star answer would be 5-10 additional leading indicators for realestate. No background material needed. (However, if you happen tofind an objective study on leading indicators then I would love totake a look at that, too.)All comments greatly appreciated!Thanks.ronP.S. Please note that indicators like "Forecasted Job Growth" or"Forecasted Property Tax Receipts" won't help much, precisely becausethey are forecasts and not hard data. The best indicators wouldinvolve hard numbers that can be observed right now, and used to makecomparisons.EXAMPLES:1. Days on the market for San Francisco versus days on the market for Phoenix.2. Days on the market for San Francisco in April 2005 versus days onthe market in San Francisco in January 2002.(This question doesn't involve specific numbers or specific cities. Rather, it involves the kind of indicators one might observe. Thx.) Answer Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators Answered By: easterangel-ga on 19 Apr 2005 16:59 PDT Rated: Hi! Thanks for the question.The National Association of Realtors provides a list of real estateindicators that one can analyze to indicate some trends. Here are someof the indicators that they follow:- Existing Home Sales- Pending Home Sales Index- New Home Sales- Housing Starts- Housing Affordability- Mortgage Rates- Mortgage Applications“Latest Economic Indicators” http://www.realtor.org/Research.nsf/Pages/EcoIndicator The US Census website provides a historical basis for its leadingindicators for real estate. The statistics are from 1900 to 2002.The indicators mentioned in the Census website are the following:- New housing units started - New one family houses sold- Existing one family houses sold- Manufacturing shipments- Index of industrial production- Manufacturing index- Retail Sales- Exports Basis- General Imports“No. HS-40. Economic Indicators for Construction, Real Estate, Manufacturing,Retail, and Foreign Trade Sectors: 1900 to 2002” http://www.census.gov/statab/hist/HS-40.pdf Finally, here is an academic study about real estate prices.“Real Estate Prices and Economic Cycles” http://urbanpolicy.berkeley.edu/pdf/Q_IRER99PB.pdf Search terms used: “real estate” housing economic indicatorsstudies real estate prices filetype:pdfI hope these links would help you in your research. Before rating thisanswer, please ask for a clarification if you have a question or ifyou would need further information. Thanks for visiting us. Regards, Easterangel-ga Google Answers Researcher Request for Answer Clarification by nronronronro-ga on 20 May 2005 15:33 PDT Alas, Phil...only the women in my life are cash-flow positive. Thatis to say, they stay positive when I let the cash flow.heh heh hehThanks for your great insights, Phil. As always!ron Clarification of Answer by easterangel-ga on 20 May 2005 17:43 PDT Hi!Sorry about this but I just have to make a reply to clarifications.Sincerely.Easterangel nronronronro-ga rated this answer: Heavenly answer, easterangel.As always, thanks a million !ron Comments Log in to add a comment Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: easterangel-ga on 19 Apr 2005 18:25 PDT You're welcome as well. Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: pafalafa-ga on 20 Apr 2005 05:03 PDT Since we're doing some work on the house in DC, I've been paying moreattention that usual to the real estate pages of the Washington Post.One of the sort-of-indicators that they mention often is theincreasing amount of property that is bought as an investment, ratherthan as a first home. They also cite the increasing trends in2nd-home sales.For both of these though, I don't know if there's an actual statistic,or just the observation of people in the business.Nice work, though, easterangel.paf Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: nronronronro-ga on 20 Apr 2005 10:52 PDT Thanks, pafalafa!My business partner just purchased a home across the street from theNational Cathedral. He obviously checked out DC. He found the "PMIRisk Index" for DC was very low, whereas the same PMI Risk Index formy state (California) was very high. The only place more risky thanSan Francisco/San Jose was Boston.Rut Row !ron Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: silver777-ga on 24 Apr 2005 05:35 PDT Ron,Your application of logic is spot on.Your points 1 to 7 could relate to any real estate market.In fact, I had counted the number of "for sale" ads by COLUMNnot just the pages. I also counted the number of propertiesfor lease. Another gauge might be to weigh the newspaper, orin the least the real estate section. I reckon that the more "for lease" properties tells us a lot about the climate of the sale market. An increase in borrowing rates will impact on the rental rates and realised sale prices,regardless of the asking prices published. Check also the auctionclearance rates.Have you sourced any cash-flow positive properties of late?Phil Subject: Re: Real Estate Prices --- Leading Indicators From: nronronronro-ga on 20 May 2005 15:34 PDT Alas, Phil...only the women in my life are cash-flow positive. Thatis to say, they stay positive when I let the cash flow.heh heh hehThanks for your great insights, Phil. As always!ron Important Disclaimer: Answers and comments provided on Google Answers are general information, and are not intended to substitute for informed professional medical, psychiatric, psychological, tax, legal, investment, accounting, or other professional advice. 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Homes on Sale - Browse - property for sale by owner Sell Car | Insurance | mortgage | credit cards | loans | England (3219) Scotland (422) Wales (294) Ireland (244) Europe (7560) USA (823) Canada (265) Africa (392) Asia (1150) Caribbean (91) Middle East (450) Oceania (143) All England Scotland Wales Ireland Europe USA Canada Africa Asia Caribbean Middle East Oceania Any words All words Exact Phrase Advanced Search Search By AD # villa in Marbella REDUCED 1. 200 yards from beach. 2. 39K - 3/4 Bed. Sea Captains House 3. bargain house near greek and turkish border ,spa resort ,lakes 4. Jumeirah Islands, Dubai 5. Disney Orlando 5 minutes 6. Dalmatian old stone house/TRGOSTAN 7. Samui Island Luxury House + Red teak wood furniture no fee & Tax, !!Spacial price!! 8. 1 Bedroom and Studios in Dubai International City 38k+ Freehold (Dubai Property) 9. Attractive house near Greek border 10. FREEHOLD PROPERTY DUBAI MARINA Online Now Welcome, guest ! We have 4 members and 376 guests online. Home : there are (15074) homes for sale by owner! Sell your house online today! It is free to advertise this month normally £25 now £0.00 until sold ... hurry offer lasts only until January 2006! [ register now ] Sell your house FAST! Buy a " For Sale " board England (3221) English property for sale, rent, PX ... Scotland (422) Scottish property for sale, rent, PX ... Wales (295) Properties on sale in Wales Ireland (244) Properties on sale in Ireland Europe (7569) Properties on sale in Europe USA (826) Properties on sale in the USA Canada (270) Properties for sale in Canada Africa (393) Properties on sale in Africa Asia (1150) Properties on sale in Asia Caribbean (91) Buy and sell property in the Caribbean Middle East (450) Properties on sale in the Middle East Oceania (143) Properties on sale in Australia, New Zealand, Fiij Featured homes - being sold by owner Cosy And Spacious 4 Bed Room Apartment Almere P269, 4 bed, Price euros180000 Detached Country House with 3acre Vineyard Balcombe, 4 bed, Price 895000 Stunning Victorian Semi-Detached House OFFERS Accepted Saltash, 4 bed, Price 245000 House for Sale (URL to 360' Virtual Tour) Brighouse (between Bradford & Huddersfield), 2 bed, Price 127500 Beautiful 4 bed family home on private estate Latimer, 4 bed, Price 379950 Spanish Holiday Home 4 Sale Quesada, 2 bed, Price Euros154500 Luxury Villa In Warsaw, Poland (European Union) Warsaw, 4 bed, Price EUR3900000 Impressive timber-framed family home Hoxne, 3 bed, Price 440000 3 houses in Ballantyne Park - extended family living with guesthouse opportunity Harare, more than 12 bed, Price USD450000 Restored stone house close to lake at Agia West of Hania Crete Hania, 2 bed, Price euro87500 House for sale Garforth, 3 bed, Price 153000 Polruan/Fowey with harbour views Polruan/Fowey, 2 bed, Price 315000 Latest 10 Property Ads Photo Title Beds, City Price Posted 1 Bedroom Apartment in Downtown Yerevan 1, Yerevan USD 90000 29, Dec 2005 Country Residence 5, Bulawayo US$ 0 29, Dec 2005 Large 5 Bedroom Terrace 5, Liverpool 195000 29, Dec 2005 6 Bedroom Art Deco Flat 6, Saltdean 365000 29, Dec 2005 France , Corse : House with a swimming pool near sea NOW 420000 5, France, bastia 390000 29, Dec 2005 Established Gite Complex For Sale 10, Pouligny Notre Dame 425000 29, Dec 2005 HOUSE IN COSTA DAURADA 3, TORREDEMBARRA ( LA POBLA DE MONTORNS) 228385 29, Dec 2005 Equestrian Property on 20.000 square meters 3, Susteren EUR 1135000 29, Dec 2005 Near BISCAROSSE St Julien en Borne 1, St Julien en Borne Euro 125000 29, Dec 2005 Detached 4 bedroom villa 4, Kusadasi 49500 29, Dec 2005 Featured Ad's Home LOAN Conveyancing Home Insurance Credit Cards For Sale Board Compare Mortgages Mortgage calculator Property Books Finance Check? Guides Savings Calculator Estate Agents Spin Selling your own home Adding a photo Standard Loans Loan APR Northern Rock Loan 5.6% Liverpool Victoria Loan 5.8% cahoot fixed rate loan 5.8% Amberloan 6.2% Home | Place Ad | Browse | Terms | Privacy | Top Sites | Sitemap | Forum | Links | Services | Contact us ©2005 Homes On Sale
Purchase Property
Stering to Euro exchange | purchase property in Spain Xchange Business Treasury Services Foreign exchange terms Bureau de change The Xchange Business Sterling to Euro exchange Get a quote and see how much you can save! FREEPHONE 0800 953 1384 OR Click here to request a Sterling to Euro quote Buying a house in Spain. Buying property in Spain is now more popular than ever, with increasing numbers of people following their dream of purchasing a holiday home, buying property to rent out or moving lock, stock to the sun. The British love the pleasant, healthy climate and in recent years the Spanish local authorities have made great efforts to increase the number of foreign tourists and residents. Buying a property abroad is an exciting experience. However buying a property abroad is very different to buying a property in the UK. There are many considerations and we have listed some of the main ones below. Settle on a region - Spain is a big country with many different regions, with many beautiful areas not necessarily on the coast. Your individual choices and taste will determine the type of area that you choose. Climate, future growth and the type of life you want should all be considered when you are buying a property in Spain. You also have to decide on a type of property to buy in Spain ,such as an apartment, a villa or even an old farmhouse. View lots of areas to get a feel for the pricing the lifestyle and the general ambience. Talk to estate agents - When purchasing a property in Spain be aware that estate agents must be officially registered and hold a licence . As the process of buying property in Spain is very different you need a good agent to guide you through the pitfalls. Appoint a lawyer - Naturally the purchase of a property in Spain has different legal issues and costs involved. A Solicitor in Spain is called an Abogado and will advise and assist you, but it is worth researching the system and the likely costs Making an offer - Once you have decided on your dream property purchase in Spain you need to make your offer, in writing if possible (of course, subject to contract). When you make your offer include not only the price, but also the amount of deposit, when you are prepared to pay it, when you are prepared to complete, what you consider to be included in the price and, an often neglected point, that all machinery equipment and installations should be in normal working order. If an offer is accepted - The lawyer the legal responsibility for checking the land registry and will then prepare a private contract which will bind both parties to the deal . The solicitor will next prepare the public deeds (Escritura de Compraventa) for signature in front of a Spanish Notary. When the balance of the purchase price is paid and vacant possession of the unencumbered property is granted, the sale is completed. The notary will fax details of the title deed to the local land register to inform them of the identity of the new owner. Once you have bought a house in Spain and wish to spend more than six months in Spain you need to apply for a Residencia - to become a Resident. The main benefit of becoming a resident is that your taxes will be lower. Financing your property purchase in Spain Before you purchase your house in Spain you will need to have the relevant finance in place. There are many costs assoctiated with buying property in Spain . There are two main methods of financing a property purchase in Spain. You can apply for a mortgage in Spain where the interest rates are lower or you can use a UK based mortgage. Some people are lucky enough to have equity in their UK house which can be released to buy the property in Spain, in which case a sterling to Euro exchange and transfer service is required. It is more than likely that with either process at some stage you will require the services of a currency transfer company. Whether to transfer the whole amount, monthly mortgage payments or to transfer living expenses you will want to transfer your funds at the best available rate. We can exchange your Sterling currency to Euros and transfer to Spain for you. Get a quote and see how much you can save! Quick guides - purchasing property abroad Currency for purchasing property abroad Purchasing a house in Europe Purchasing a property in Australia Purchasing a house in Canada Purchasing a house in America Buying a house in Cyprus Our foreign currency rate could have a dramatic effect on thecost of buying property in Europe Contact Email: jp@xchangebusiness.co.uk Contact Telephone: FREEPHONE 0800 953 1384 Contact us | Why us? | FAQ? | Disclaimer | Testimonials Sterling to Euro exchange and transfer at exchange-currency.co.uk Exchange Currency © 2003