Real Estate Prices: Boom

Calculated Risk: California Real Estate Prices: Boom and Bust Notify Blogger about objectionable content. What does this mean? BlogThis! Calculated Risk Click Here to Return to Main Page Politics and Economics Tuesday, March 15, 2005 California Real Estate Prices: Boom and Bust Today I heard someone comment that California Real Estate never goes down. In fact, California RE has declined in the past in both real and nominal terms. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the price of California RE based on the OFHEO California housing index . For the real price, the nominal price is adjusted by CPI, less Shelter, from the BLS . (1976 = 100) The graph shows that in real terms we have seen two declines since 1980. The first decline, in the early '80s, lasted 3 years. The second decline, in the early to mid '90s, lasted 6 years. The second graph shows the same information by annual rate of return, both real and nominal. The decline in the '90s lasted 24 quarters from peak to trough. It took 9 years for prices to recover in nominal terms to their early '91 peak. Overall prices declined 12% in nominal terms and 26% in real terms. Even more important for the economy are the coincident declines in sales volume. Real Estate prices are “sticky downward” since sellers are slow to adjust their prices down, and buyers are reluctant to buy a declining price asset. In this regards, real estate is an imperfect market in that prices adjust slowly to changes in supply and demand (unlike commodities like corn or wheat). Although prices do decline, it’s the decline in volume that leads to declining employment in real estate related occupations like construction, RE sales, mortgages, and more, and impacts the general economy. posted by CalculatedRisk at 8:39 PM Comments | Trackback Calculated Risk: a senior executive, retired from a public company, with a background in investing, finance and economics. Guest blogger: Angry Bear Commentator: Economics Roundtable WWW Calculated Risk Previous Posts UCLA Anderson Forecast: False Sense of Wealth Mortgage Debt and the Trade Deficit China Reduces Dollars in Its Reserves, Lehman Says Mortgage Debt Increases 13% in 2004 The Other Trust Funds Fed's Poole: Social Security Needs Small Changes Housing: Excessive Leverage? Housing: Two Worrisome Signs China and the Price of Gas Greenspan's March to Infamy Housing Sites: Housing Bubble Blog The Housing Bubble Prof. Pigginton's Econo-Almanac housebubble.com Bubble Meter Boy in the Housing Bubble Email: Calculated Risk "Homeownership has become a vehicle for borrowing and leveraging as much as a source of financial security." Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, Feb 11, 2005 More excerpts of Volcker's Speech and video

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DOL - Real Estate Brokers License Real Estate Brokers License Requirements of Licensure: 18 years of age or older. High school diploma or equivalent. Minimum of two years of full-time experience as asalesperson in Washington or in another jurisdiction having comparablerequirements. 120 clock hours of instruction in real estate including: --30 clock hours real estate law, --30 clock hours brokerage management, --30 clock hours business management, and a --30 clock hour approved elective course. Successful passage of examination. Application for license. Please note: The experience and clock hours must be completed within five years prior to application for examination. Fees: Examination Fee ------ $138.25 Original License Fee - $210.00 Renewal Fee (2 yr.) ----$210.00 Continuing Education Requirement: 30 clock hours for renewal every two years including the core curriculum. A list of approved real estate courses are available in the real estate course catalog Forms: You can download the forms listed below to your own desktop or work-station. Application for Real EstateSalesperson/Associate Broker/Branch Manager Application for Real EstateIndividual Broker License (Sole Proprietorship) Application for Limited LiabilityCompany or Limited Liability Partnership Application for Real EstatePartnership License Application for Real EstateCorporation License Application for Real EstateBranch Office Licensure Application for Broker AddressChange/Branch Office Address Change BrokerClosing Office Affidavit WaiverProcedures for Broker Examination Applicants Using AlternateExperience/Qualifications Real Estate Examination, Licensing and Renewal Section: Business Location: Department of Licensing Real Estate Licensing Section 2000 4th Avenue West Olympia, WA Mailing Address: Department of Licensing Real Estate Licensing Section PO Box 9015 Olympia, WA 98507-9015 Telephone Number: (360) 664-6500 or (360) 664-6488 Fax Number: (360) 586-0998 Office Hours: 8 A.M. to 5 P.M. Pacific time, Monday through Friday. Return to Real Estate front page. Real Estate MainPage Washington Real EstateCommission ProfessionalLicensing Internet Query Fees FAQs Salespersons License Appraisers MainPage Washington Real EstateLicensing Law: RCW18.85 Real Estate Brokerage Relationships: RCW18.86 WAC308-124 General Provisions WAC308-124A Licensing & Exams WAC308-124B Brokers Office WAC308-124C Records WAC308-124D Operational Procedures WAC308-124E Trust Accounts WAC308-124H Education Telephone: Salesperson & Brokers Licensing Section: (360) 664-6488 or (360) 664-6500 Fax: (360) 586-0998 Education Section: (360) 664-6505 Fax: (360) 586-0998 Office Hours: 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Fees Accepted: 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. Pacific Time Monday through Friday Write: Department of Licensing Real Estate Program PO Box 9015 Olympia, WA 98507-9015 Business Location: 2000 4th Avenue West, Olympia, WA 98502 E-Mail: RealEstate@dol.wa.gov

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